Muri Werurwe uyu mwaka, RMB yo ku nkombe yigeze kugera ku gipimo cyo hasi cya 6.57, hanyuma ntiyongera kugira abacuruzi b'abanyamahanga, none ndatinya kwicuza ko ari imbogamizi. Ibyerekezo bya gari ya moshi ya Din, Umuhuza wa CPU na umutekano w'utugarurarumuri bigomba kwitabwaho.
Kuva muri Mata, igipimo cy’idorari cyagabanutseho 2.1%, kandi RMB yakomeje gukomera ugereranije n’idorari, izamukaho 2.18% ku butaka ndetse inakuramo amanota arenga 1.400; RMB yo ku butaka yazamutseho amanota arenga 1500, cyangwa 2.73%.
Ku ya 26 Gicurasi, igipimo cy’uburinganire hagati y’igipimo cya RMB cyagaragaje ko cyari hagati ya $ 1 na RMB 6.4099, cyazamutseho amanota 184 ugereranyije n’umunsi w’ubucuruzi ushize, kigera ku rwego rwo hejuru rw’imyaka hafi itatu, intambwe ku yindi ugereranyije n’igihe cya Yuan 6.3.
Kuri uwo munsi, RMB yo ku nkombe, RMB yo ku nkombe ugereranyije n’ihindagurika ry’ivunjisha ry’idolari, byombi byarenze ku kigero cya yuan 6.4, bigera ku gihe cya yuan 6.3. Umwaka ushize, yuan yari ikiri mu gihe cya 7.1, izamukaho amanota arenga 7,100 mu mwaka.
Izamuka nk'iri, birumvikana ko ari ryiza cyane ku bigo bitumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga, cyane cyane muri iki gihe ibiciro by'ibicuruzwa bimwe na bimwe bikomeje kuzamuka cyane, ubwiyongere bwa RMB buzagabanya igitutu giterwa n'izamuka ry'ibiciro by'ibicuruzwa.
Ariko ku bigo byacu byohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga, iyo uyu musozi munini uri mu gitutu, ubucuruzi bwarushijeho kugorana.
Kubera iyo ngendo igaragara y’ubwishingizi, Komisiyo y’Imari na Banki y’Abaturage y’Ubushinwa baherutse gutangaza byinshi, bashyiraho uburyo igipimo cy’ivunjisha rya RMB kizamuka.
Ku ya 21 Gicurasi, inama ya 51 yahuje Komisiyo ishinzwe Iterambere ry’Imari n’Iterambere ry’Inama ya Leta, ubwo yigaga kandi igashyiraho imirimo y’ingenzi mu cyiciro gikurikira, yashimangiye ko hagomba gukomeza guteza imbere ivugurura ry’inyungu ku isoko no kubungabunga umutekano w’ibanze w’igipimo cy’ivunjisha cya RMB ku rwego rukwiye kandi ruringaniye.
Ku ya 23 Gicurasi, Liu Guoqiang, umuyobozi wungirije wa Banki y’Abaturage y’Ubushinwa, yavuze ku gipimo cy’ivunjisha cya RMB ko kuva uyu mwaka, igipimo cy’ivunjisha cya RMB cyazamutse kandi kigenda gihindagurika mu mpande zombi, ibyo bikaba byarakomeje kuba bihamye ku rwego rukwiye kandi ruringaniye. Kuri ubu, isoko ry’ivunjisha ry’Ubushinwa riringaniye ku buryo bwigenga, igipimo cy’ivunjisha cya RMB kigenwa n’isoko, kandi icyizere cy’ivunjisha kiracyahamye. Mu gihe kizaza, icyerekezo cy’ivunjisha rya RMB kizakomeza guterwa n’isoko ry’ibiciro n’ibikenewe ndetse n’impinduka ku isoko mpuzamahanga ry’imari, kandi ihindagurika ry’ibiciro rizaba risanzwe.
Vuba aha, bivugwa ko igitutu cy’izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa gishobora kugongwa n’izamuka rya RMB. Hari kandi ibitekerezo bivuga ko banki nkuru izareka gucunga igiciro cy’ivunjisha, kandi RMB izakomeza kuzamuka ugereranyije n’idolari mu gihe giciriritse n’igihe kirekire.
Igisubizo cyakurikiyeho cya mama w’imbere cyagaragaje ko bitashobokaga ko gihindura uburyo bw’ivunjisha rya RMB mu gihe gito. Kuri ubu, ntabwo ari ikintu cy’ingenzi ku bashinzwe kugenzura ko bagomba kugabanya ingaruka z’izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa ku rwego mpuzamahanga ku biciro by’imbere mu gihugu binyuze mu guteza imbere izamuka ry’ivunjisha rya RMB.
Ni ingenzi cyane gukomeza ihindagurika risanzwe ry’igipimo cy’ivunjisha rya RMB hamwe n’umusaruro n’ibikenewe ku isoko ndetse n’impinduka ku isoko mpuzamahanga ry’imari (harimo n’icyerekezo cy’idolari rya Amerika), no kwirinda iteranya ry’ibyo isoko ryitezweho ku ruhande rumwe, gukomeza gahunda y’isoko rya RMB no gushimangira umutekano w’imari.
Kugeza ubu, inzego zose zahanuye icyerekezo cya RMB mu gihe kizaza ku buryo bukurikira:
Ku wa mbere, UBS Wealth Management yasohoye raporo ivuga ko banki yiteze ko igitutu kizamuka mu 2022; yagabanyije ibiteganijwe mu mpera za Nzeri kugeza kuri 6.3 iva kuri 6.35 igera kuri 6.40 mu gihembwe cya mbere cy'umwaka utaha. Byongeye kandi, banki yihaye intego yo kugera kuri 6.45 muri Kamena itaha.
CITIC Securities yizera ko hamwe n’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga bikomeye by’Ubushinwa, inyungu nyazo ziri hasi muri Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika ndetse n’imyumvire y’ikigo cy’imari n’imigabane muri rusange, igipimo cy’ivunjisha cya RMB kiracyafite umwanya wo kuzamuka, idolari rya Amerika ugereranyije n’igipimo cy’ivunjisha cya RMB cyagabanutse cyangwa kikagera kuri 6.2.
Tao Chuan, inzobere mu isesengura ry’ubukungu muri Soochow Securities, yagaragaje ko imyumvire myiza ku isoko rya Amerika yagaragaje ibimenyetso by’igihe gito, hamwe n’igabanuka ry’amafaranga y’idolari, izamuka ry’ibiciro ry’imyenda ya Amerika mu gihe nta mbaraga ziyongeraho. Byongeye kandi, izamuka rito ry’icyorezo mu Burayi ryanatumye igipimo cy’idorari gigabanuka. Yavuze ko izamuka riherutse rya RMB riri munsi y’ifaranga risanzwe nka euro, kandi ko ryitezwe ko umuvuduko uzagabanuka mu gihe kizaza, aho imbaraga zaryo zigera kuri 6.30 zikagera kuri 6.35 ugereranije n’idorari.
Umushakashatsi mukuru w’ikigo cy’ubushakashatsi mu by’imari cya Banki y’Itumanaho, Tang Jianwei, isesengura rye, bitewe n’uko igipimo cy’ivunjisha cya RMB cyazamutse kandi ibintu byo kugabanuka kw’agaciro bibaho icyarimwe, byitezwe ko bizagorana kuzamuka cyangwa kugabanuka kw’agaciro, idorari ugereranyije na yuan muri uyu mwaka ryazamutseho 6 cyangwa rikagabanukaho 7, amahirwe ni make cyane, byitezwe ko igipimo cy’ivunjisha cya RMB kizakomeza kugira imiterere y’ihindagurika ry’impande ebyiri.
Kuri twe abakora ubucuruzi bw'amahanga, icyerekezo rusange cy'ihindagurika ry'ivunjisha ry'imigabane ibiri gihora ari cyiza kuruta izamuka ry'ivunjisha ku ruhande rumwe. Muri iki gihe, uburyo bw'ingenzi bwo guhangana n'ingaruka z'ihindagurika ry'ivunjisha ni:
1. gutumiza igice cy'ibikoresho fatizo mu mahanga kugira ngo bihombe;
2. Gukoresha RMB irenga imipaka mu gukusanya amadovize;
3. kugenzura ibyago binyuze mu bikoresho by'ivunjisha.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Gicurasi-27-2021