NgoMatshi kulo nyaka, i-RMB yonxweme yakha yafikelela kwinqanaba eliphantsi le-6.57, emva koko ayizange ifumane ukuhlaliswa kwabarhwebi bamanye amazwe, ngoku ndiyoyika ukuzisola ngokuba luhlaza. Iibhloko zesiphelo sesitimela saseDin, Isixhumi seCPU kwaye ukhuseleko lwezibonisi kufuneka kuqatshelwe.
Ukususela ngo-Epreli, i-dollar index iye yaba buthathaka nge-2.1%, kwaye i-RMB iqhubekile nokuqina xa ithelekiswa nedola, inyuke nge-2.18% elunxwemeni kwaye itsala amanqaku angaphezu kwe-1 400; i-RMB elunxwemeni inyuke ngamanqaku angaphezu kwe-1500, okanye i-2.73%.
Ngomhla wama-26 kuCanzibe, izinga eliphakathi lokulingana kwexabiso le-RMB libike i-$1 ukuya kwi-RMB 6.4099, linyuke ngama-184 basis points ukusuka kusuku lwangaphambili lorhwebo, lifikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu phantse iminyaka emithathu, inyathelo ngenyathelo ukusuka kwixesha le-6.3 yuan.
Ngaloo mini inye, i-RMB yolwandle, i-RMB yolwandle xa ithelekiswa nokuguquguquka kwexabiso lokutshintshiselana ngedola, zombini zaphula uphawu lwe-6.4 yuan, zafika kwixesha le-6.3 yuan. Kunyaka ophelileyo, i-yuan yayisekwixesha le-7.1, inyuke ngamanqaku angaphezu kwe-7,100 ngonyaka.
Ukunyuka okunjalo, ewe, kuluncedo olukhulu kumashishini angenisa impahla kwamanye amazwe, ingakumbi ngoku amanye amaxabiso eempahla aqhubeka enyuka kakhulu, ukunyuka kwe-RMB kuya kunciphisa uxinzelelo olubangelwa kukunyuka kwamaxabiso eempahla.
Kodwa kumashishini ethu okuthumela ngaphandle, xa le ntaba inkulu iphantsi koxinzelelo, ishishini liye laba nzima ngakumbi ukulenza.
Ngenxa yolu hlobo lokuxabisa olucacileyo, iKhomishini yezeMali kunye neBhanki yabantu baseTshayina bavakalise amazwi abo ngamandla kutshanje, bebeka intsingiselo yendlela yokutshintshiselana ngexabiso le-RMB.
Ngomhla wama-21 kuCanzibe, intlanganiso yama-51 eyayibanjwe yiKhomishini yoZinzo lwezeMali noPhuhliso lweBhunga leSizwe yagxininisa, xa yayifunda kwaye isasaza umsebenzi obalulekileyo kwinqanaba elilandelayo, ukukhuthaza ngakumbi utshintsho lwentengiso lwezinga lenzala kunye nokugcina uzinzo olusisiseko lwezinga lokutshintshiselana le-RMB kwinqanaba elifanelekileyo nelilinganayo.
Ngomhla wama-23 kuCanzibe, uLiu Guoqiang, usekela-rhuluneli weBhanki yabantu baseTshayina, uthe malunga nezinga lokutshintshiselana nge-RMB ukususela kulo nyaka, izinga lokutshintshiselana nge-RMB liye lanyuka laza latshintsha kuzo zombini iindlela, nto leyo ehlale izinzile kwinqanaba elifanelekileyo nelilinganayo. Okwangoku, imakethi yokutshintshiselana nge-RMB yangaphandle ilinganiswe ngokuzimeleyo, izinga lokutshintshiselana nge-RMB limiselwa yimakethi, kwaye ulindelo lwezinga lokutshintshiselana nge-RMB luzinzile. Kwixesha elizayo, indlela yokutshintshiselana nge-RMB iya kuqhubeka ixhomekeke kubonelelo lwemakethi kunye nemfuno kunye notshintsho kwimakethi yezemali yamazwe ngamazwe, kwaye ukuguquguquka okuphakathi kuya kuba yinto eqhelekileyo.
Kutshanje, kuthiwa uxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso eemveliso lunokukhuselwa kukunyuka kwe-RMB. Kukwakho nezimvo zokuba ibhanki ephakathi ekugqibeleni iya kuyishiya indlela yokulawula izinga lokutshintshiselana, kwaye i-RMB iya kuqhubeka nokunyuka xa ithelekiswa nedola kwixesha eliphakathi nelide.
Impendulo kaMama ophakathi emva koko ibonise ukuba akunakwenzeka ukuba itshintshe inkqubo yayo yezinga lokutshintshiselana nge-RMB kwixesha elifutshane. Okwangoku, ayisiyonto iphambili kubalawuli ukunciphisa impembelelo yokunyuka kwamaxabiso eemveliso zamazwe ngamazwe kumaxabiso asekhaya ngokukhuthaza ukunyuka kwezinga lokutshintshiselana nge-RMB.
Kubaluleke ngakumbi ukugcina ukuguquguquka okuqhelekileyo kwamacala amabini kwezinga lokutshintshiselana kwe-RMB kunye nokunikezelwa kwemarike kunye nemfuno kunye notshintsho kwimarike yezemali yamazwe ngamazwe (kuquka nomkhwa wedola yaseMelika), kunye nokuphepha ukuhlanganiswa kolindelo lwemarike oluzimeleyo, ukugcina ulungelelwano lwemarike ye-RMB kunye nokuqinisa ukhuseleko lwezemali.
Okwangoku, onke amaziko aqikelele indlela ye-RMB yexesha elizayo ngolu hlobo lulandelayo:
I-UBS Wealth Management ikhuphe ingxelo ngoMvulo ethi ibhanki ilindele ukunyuka koxinzelelo ngo-2022; inciphise uqikelelo lwayo ekupheleni kukaSeptemba ukuya kwi-6.3 ukusuka kwi-6.35 ukuya kwi-6.40 kwikota yokuqala yonyaka ozayo. Ukongeza, ibhanki izibekele usukelo lwe-6.45 ngoJuni ozayo.
I-CITIC Securities ikholelwa ukuba xa idibene nokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe okunamandla eTshayina, izinga lenzala eliphantsi le-United States kunye nesimo sengqondo se-Fed ngokubanzi, izinga lokutshintshiselana nge-RMB lisenendawo yokunyuka, idola yaseMelika xa ithelekiswa nezinga lokutshintshiselana nge-RMB liyehla okanye lafikelela kwi-6.2.
UTao Chuan, umhlalutyi omkhulu kwiSoochow Securities, ubonise ukuba imbono entle yemarike yakutshanje ngoqoqosho lwaseMelika ibonise iimpawu zexesha elifutshane, kunye nokungakwazi ukuhlawula imali, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso eemali ze-US phantsi kokungabikho kokunyuka okuqhubekayo. Ukongeza, ukuphucuka okuncinci kobhubhane eYurophu kukhokelele ekwehleni kwe-index yedola. Uthe ukwehla kwakutshanje kwe-RMB kungaphantsi kweemali eziqhelekileyo ezifana ne-euro, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba kunciphe isantya kwixesha elizayo, apho ukumelana kwayo kuphakathi kwe-6.30 ukuya kwi-6.35 xa kuthelekiswa nedola.
Umphandi oyintloko weziko lophando lwezemali leBhanki yoNxibelelwano uTang Jianwei uhlalutyo, ngenxa yoxabiso lwezinga lokutshintshiselana kwe-RMB kunye nezinto zokuhla kwexabiso ezikhoyo ngaxeshanye, kulindeleke ukuba kube nobunzima bokuhla kwexabiso okanye ukuhla kwexabiso, idola ngokuchasene ne-yuan kulo nyaka inyuke nge-6 okanye ihla nge-7 amathuba mancinci kakhulu, kulindeleke ukuba izinga lokutshintshiselana kwe-RMB lisaza kugcina iimpawu zokuguquguquka kweendlela ezimbini.
Kuthi bantu bangaphandle, indlela eqhelekileyo yokutshintshatshintsha kwamanani okutshintshiselana kwemali isoloko ingcono kunokuqonda ixabiso elinye. Okwangoku, eyona ndlela iphambili yokujongana nomngcipheko wokutshintshatshintsha kwamanani okutshintshiselana kwemali ayisiyonto ingaphezulu nje:
1. Inxalenye yezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo ezingeniswe kwamanye amazwe ukuze kuthintelwe ilahleko;
2. Ukusebenzisa i-RMB enqamlezileyo ekuqokeleleni utshintshiselwano lwangaphandle;
3. ilawula umngcipheko ngokusebenzisa izixhobo ze-extivities zotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Meyi-27-2021