Stephen Jen, aimbove nyanzvi yezvemari yeMorgan Stanley, akataura nezve "dollar smile curve" inozivikanwa zvikuru: dhora rinosimba kana hupfumi hwakashata uye huchibudirira. Zvivharo zveDin Rail Terminal, Madhoodhi eD-Sub uye Zviratidziri zveKuchengetedzwa Kwemugwagwa zvinofanira kucherechedzwa.
Nekukwira kwemitengo yeFed kwakaita seeagle, nhamba yemadhora yakakwira zvakanyanya mumakore makumi maviri, uye mari dzisiri dzemuUS dzakadzikira zvakanyanya.
Nekuda kwemamiriro ari kuita dhora rekuAmerica pari zvino muhurongwa hwemari hwepasi rose, kutengeserana kwenyika dzese kunowanzo gadziriswa nedhora rekuAmerica. Kana mari yemuno yenyika ikaderera zvakanyanya kana ichienzaniswa nedhora rekuAmerica, mutengo wekupinza zvinhu unokwira zvakanyanya panguva imwe chete. Saka takaona vatengi vazhinji pakati pevatengi vasiri vekuAmerica vachida kuderedzwa kwemitengo, kubhadhariswa mari kwenguva pfupi, uye kukanzurwa kwemitengo.
Zvinotevera ndizvo zvakakonzera kudzikira kukuru kwegore rino kune dzimwe nyika, vanhu vanotengeserana kunze kwenyika vanotumira misika iyi, vanofanira kungwarira kuchengetedzeka kwekubhadhara!
Nhamba 1 euros
Euro yadonha ne15 muzana kana ichienzaniswa nedhora kusvika pari zvino gore rino. Musi wa22 Nyamavhuvhu, euro yadonha pasi pechiyero kana ichienzaniswa nedhora kechipiri gore rino, ichidonha kusvika pa0.9926, chiyero chakaderera kubva muna 2002. Uye kudzikira kwemutengo weeuro kunoita sekunge kwatanga.
Morgan Stanley anotarisira kuti euro ichadzikira kusvika pa0.97 mukota iyi sezvo Fed ichisimba, uye Nomura inotarisira 0.975 pakupera kwaGunyana, misika isati yatarisira 0.95 kana kudzika sezvo kumanikidzwa kwemagetsi kuchiwedzera njodzi yekudzima magetsi.
Nyanzvi dzezvehupfumi dzinotarisira kuti CPI yenzvimbo yeeuro ichasvika 9% muna Nyamavhuvhu, imwe rekodhi yakakwira uye inopetwa kanopfuura kana chinangwa che2%, ukuwo euro isina kusimba yakaita kuti matambudziko e inflation awedzere kuipa nekuwedzera mitengo yekupinza zvinhu kunze kwenyika.
Nhamba 2 mapaundi
Pound yakatambura nemwedzi wayo wakaipisisa kubva pavhoti yeBrexit muna Nyamavhuvhu 2016, apo yakaderera neanopfuura 4 muzana kana ichienzaniswa nedhora. Sterling yadonha ne11.8 muzana kana ichienzaniswa nedhora kusvika pari zvino gore rino, zvichiita kuti ive imwe yemari dzakanyanya kushanda zvakanaka muG10.
Goldman Sachs anotenda kuti Britain inogona kuwira mudambudziko rehupfumi muchikamu chechina chegore. Citi inofanotaura kuti inflation muUK ichakwira ne18 muzana muna Ndira 2023.
Nhamba 3 itsva
Yen yakatengesa zvishoma nezvishoma ikadzika pamusoro pedhora kusvika paY 139.50 pamusika wemari weTokyo musi wa1 Gunyana, nhanho yayo yakaderera zvikuru mumakore makumi maviri nemana. Muna Nyamavhuvhu chete, yen yakadonha ne4% uye yadonha neanopfuura 18% kusvika pari zvino gore rino!
Zvisinei, Bank of Japan haina kugadzirira kupindira muyen isina kusimba. Haruhiko Kuroda, purezidhendi weBank of Japan, munguva pfupi yapfuura akasimbisa kuti mutemo wezvemari haubvi payen, asi pamitengo.
Yen isina kusimba yakanaka kwazvo kune zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika, asi yakakonzerawo mitengo yepamusoro yezvinhu zvakagadzirwa zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika. Makambani angangoita 60 muzana akaongororwa akati mashandiro avo akakanganiswa zvakanyanya nekuderera kwemutengo weyen nekukurumidza, zvichienderana neongororo yakaitwa neImperial Japan Data Bank. Pamakambani anopfuura 10,000 akaongororwa, 61 muzana akati yen isina kusimba ine "kukanganisa kwakaipa". Imperial Data Bank yakati kudzikira kwemutengo weyen kwakaita kuti zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika zviwedzere, asi zvakasimudzira mutengo wekupinza zvinhu kunze kwenyika.
Nhamba 4 yakahwina
Mari yeSouth Korean won yadzikira kusvika padanho rayo rakaderera kubvira muna 2009, uye yadzikira ne11 muzana kana ichienzaniswa nedhora rekuAmerica kusvika pari zvino gore rino.
Gavhuna weBhangi reKorea, Cheung-yong Rhee, akati mitengo haigone kurambwa mushure meFed kuti ibude musimba. Bhangi reKorea rawedzera fungidziro yaro yekukura kwemutengo wevatengi (CPI) kusvika pa5.2% gore rino. CPI yeSouth Korea yakakwira ne6.3 muzana muna Chikunguru kubva mugore rapfuura, kubva pa6 muzana muna Chikumi uye padanho repamusoro kubva padambudziko remari raMbudzi 1998.
Nhamba 5 Lira yeTurkey
Gore rino, mari yeTurkey lira yakaderera ne26 muzana pakati paNyamavhuvhu.
Turkey yava "mambo we inflation" pasi rose, ichikwira ne79.6 muzana pagore muna Chikunguru, kukwira kwakakwira kwemakore makumi maviri nemana. MuIstanbul, guta rine vanhu vakawanda muTurkey, mitengo yakakwira ne99 muzana muna Chikunguru kubva mugore rapfuura.
Vatengesi muTurkey vanoti vaimbotenga mabhegi ezvekudya vobhadhara mari isingasviki 100 lielas, asi ikozvino vava kukwanisa kutenga mapaundi mashoma ezvekudya zvinonaka, zvekudya zvidiki uye soda. VaTurkey vakabvuma kuti zvinhu zvekurarama nazvo zvava zveumbozha, "mumamiriro ezvinhu akaipa".
Nhamba 6 yeArgentina peso
Kukwira kwemitengo kwakasvika 71% muna Chikunguru, iyo yakanyanya kukwira mumakore angangoita makumi matatu, uye nyanzvi dzezvehupfumi dzaitarisira kuti ichakwira zvakanyanya kusvika 90% pakupera kwegore! Panguva iyi, Argentina peso (musika mutema) yakapinda muchiratidzo chepfungwa che300 peso musi wa19 Chikunguru ndokudzikira kusvika pakaderera kupfuura kare kwe338 peso musi wa22 Chikunguru. Mumusika wepamutemo, Argentina peso yakarasikirwawo ne37% kana ichienzaniswa nedhora mugore rapfuura.
Argentina inyika inotengesa zvinhu zvekunze kwenyika iyo inotenga zvinhu zvakawanda kubva kunze kwenyika. Kuwedzera kwesimba remagetsi nezvinhu zvekunze kwenyika pamwe nezvimwe zvinhu kwakonzera kukwira kwemitengo yezvinhu zvinobva kunze kwenyika, ukuwo kudzikira kwemitengo yemari kuri kuwedzera kukwira kwemitengo yezvinhu zvinobva kunze kwenyika. Kudzivirira kukwira kwemitengo, bhangi guru reArgentina raitengesa madhora zuva rega rega kudzivirira kuderera kwemitengo ye peso.
Pamusoro pezvo, bhangi guru reArgentina rakaburitsa Chiziviso Nhamba A7532 musi wa27 Chikumi, richiwedzera kupinza kwemari yekune dzimwe nyika kuhurongwa hwekubhadhara mari yekunze kune masevhisi uye zvigadzirwa zvemarezenisi zvisiri zveotomatiki kwemwedzi mitatu kusvika 30 Gunyana gore rino. Munguva pfupi yapfuura, Argentina Customs yakatangawo kudzvinyirira kutyorwa kwekutengeserana kwekunze nekutengesa kunze kwenyika, kunyanya kusanganisira kushuma kwenhema kwemitengo yezvinhu mukutengeserana kwekunze nekutengesa kunze kwenyika, senge ma invoice asina kuvhurwa uye ma invoice akakwira ekutumira kunze. Danho rekutanga rekugadzirisa rakabatanidza mabhizinesi 13,640 nemakambani 722, nemutengo wezvinhu wese uri madhora ekuAmerica angangoita mabhiriyoni 1.25.
Nhamba 7 Pondo reIjipita
—— Mitengo yegorosi pasi rose yakakwira, zvichiita kuti Egypt ive nyika inonyanya kutenga gorosi kubva kunze kwenyika, uye vakarohwa zvakanyanya, pamwe nemitengo yechikafu yakakwira ne66 muzana, zvichiita kuti inflation ikwire kusvika pa15 muzana.
Paundi yeEgypt iri kutengesa pamadhora gumi nemapfumbamwe nehafu ($19.1), iri yechipiri yakaderera pane dzose dzakamboitika, uye iri pasi peiyo chete munguva yechando muna 2016.
Vatengesi vekune dzimwe nyika vakataura kuti zvinhu zvinotengeswa kuEgypt zvave kuvharirwa muchiteshi chengarava nekuti vatengi havakwanise kupa tsamba yechikwereti.
Nhamba 8 yeHungarian Forint
Mari huru muEastern Europe dzakatamburawo zvakare nekuda kwekudzikira kwehupfumi muEurozone pamwe nekuderera kwemari yeEuro.
Mari yeForint yeHungary haina kana kumbodarika mari yeTurkey gore rino, ichirasikirwa nemadhora anodarika 26 muzana. Vezvenhau vekuHungary vakatotaura nezvenyaya dzinoti "Forin ndiyo yaive mari isina simba pasi rose", "Forin yakarohwa zvakanyanya" uye "Forin yakadonha zvakanyanya kana ichienzaniswa nedhora neeuro".
Nhamba 9, Zloty, Poland
Zloty yePoland yarasikirwa ne12% kana ichienzaniswa nedhora kubva pakupera kwaKukadzi. Kukwira kwemitengo yemitengo kwasvika pa15.7%.
Poland, iyo yanga ichinyanya kunanga Russia, yakatarisanawo nezvirango zvakare. Poland ndiyo nyika huru mukugadzira magetsi emarasha muEurope uye ndiyo inogadzira marasha akawanda muEuropean Union, ichigadzira matani anopfuura mamiriyoni makumi mashanu emarasha pagore, asi ichiri kutenga kunze kwenyika matani angangoita mamiriyoni gumi nemaviri emarasha pagore. Mamiriyoni emhuri dzekuPoland achasangana nekushomeka kwemarasha munguva yechando mushure mesarudzo yehurumende yePoland yekuisa zvirango pamarasha eRussia.
Nguva yekutumira: Gumiguru-18-2022