UStephen Jen, owayengusomaqhinga wezezimali kaMorgan Stanley, uphakamise "i-dollar smile curve" edumile: idola liyaqina lapho umnotho mubi futhi uchuma. Amabhulokhi Esiteshi Sesitimela SaseDin, Ama-D-Sub Hoods futhi Izibonisi Zokuphepha Emgwaqweni kufanele kuqashelwe.
Njengoba —— kukhuphuka izinga le-fed elifana ne-eagle, i-dollar index ifinyelele phezulu eminyakeni engama-20, futhi izimali ezingezona ezase-US zehla kakhulu.
Ngenxa yesimo samanje sedola laseMelika ohlelweni lwezimali lomhlaba wonke, ukuhwebelana kwamazwe ngamazwe ngokuvamile kuxazululwa ngedola laseMelika. Lapho inani lemali lezwe lehla kakhulu uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika, izindleko zokungenisa zizokhuphuka kakhulu ngasikhathi sinye. Ngakho-ke sibone abathengi abaningi phakathi kwamakhasimende angewona aseMelika befuna izaphulelo, izinkokhelo ezihlehlisiwe, kanye nokukhanselwa.
Okulandelayo ukwehla okukhulu kakhulu kulo nyaka kwamanye amazwe, abantu bezentengiselwano zakwamanye amazwe abathumela lezi zimakethe, kumele banake ukuphepha kokukhokha!
I-euro engu-1 CHA
I-euro yehle ngamaphesenti ayi-15 uma iqhathaniswa nedola kuze kube manje kulo nyaka. Ngomhlaka-22 Agasti, i-euro yehle ngaphansi kokulingana nedola okwesibili kulo nyaka, yehla yaya ku-0.9926, okuyizinga eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngo-2002. Futhi ukwehla kwe-euro kubonakala sengathi kusanda kuqala.
UMorgan Stanley ulindele ukuthi i-euro yehle iye ku-0.97 kule kota njengoba i-Fed iqina, kanti uNomura uhlose u-0.975 ekupheleni kukaSepthemba, ngaphambi kokuba izimakethe zingalindela u-0.95 noma ngaphansi njengoba ukucindezeleka kokunikezwa kwamandla kwandisa ingozi yokuphela kukagesi.
Izazi zezomnotho zilindele ukuthi i-CPI ye-euro zone ifinyelele ku-9% ngo-Agasti, okuphinde kube yirekhodi eliphakeme kakhulu futhi eliphindwe kane kunelitshe elihlosiwe elingu-2%, kuyilapho i-euro ebuthaka yenze izinkinga zokukhuphuka kwamanani entengo zaba zimbi kakhulu ngokunyusa izindleko zokungenisa impahla.
CHA. Amakhilogremu amabili
I-pound ihlupheke kakhulu ngenyanga yayo kusukela kuvoti lwe-Brexit lwango-2016 ngo-Agasti, lapho yehla ngaphezu kwamaphesenti angu-4 uma iqhathaniswa nedola. I-Sterling yehle ngamaphesenti angu-11.8 uma iqhathaniswa nedola kuze kube manje kulo nyaka, okwenza ibe ngenye yezimali ezisebenza kabi kakhulu kwi-G10.
UGoldman Sachs ukholelwa ukuthi iBrithani ingase iwele ekwehleni komnotho kwikota yesine. I-Citi ibikezela ukuthi ukukhuphuka kwentengo kwe-UK kuzokhuphuka ngamaphesenti angu-18 ngoJanuwari 2023.
I-NO. 3 entsha
I-yen yahwebelana okwesikhashana futhi yehla ngaphezu kwedola yaya ku-Y 139.50 emakethe yemali yaseTokyo ngoSepthemba 1, okuyizinga layo eliphansi kakhulu eminyakeni engama-24. Ngo-Agasti kuphela, i-yen yehle cishe ngo-4% futhi yehle ngaphezu kuka-18% kuze kube manje kulo nyaka!
Kodwa-ke, iBhange laseJapan alizimisele ukungenelela ku-yen ebuthakathaka. UHaruhiko Kuroda, umongameli weBhange laseJapan, muva nje ugcizelele ukuthi inqubomgomo yezezimali ayisekelwe ku-yen, kodwa isekelwe emananini.
I-yen ebuthakathaka ngempela ilungele ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, kodwa futhi iholele emananini aphezulu ezinto zokusetshenziswa ezingenisiwe. Cishe amaphesenti angama-60 ezinkampani ezihloliwe zithi ukusebenza kwazo kuthinteke kabi ukwehla okusheshayo kwe-yen, ngokusho kocwaningo olwenziwe yi-Imperial Japan Data Bank. Ezinkampanini ezingaphezu kuka-10,000 ezihloliwe, amaphesenti angama-61 athi i-yen ebuthakathaka ibe "nomthelela omubi". I-Imperial Data Bank ithe ukwehla kwe-yen kuholele ekwandeni kokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe akubonakali, kodwa kwakhuphula intengo yokungenisa.
I-NO.4 iwine
I-won yaseNingizimu Korea yehle yaya ezingeni layo eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngo-2009, futhi yehle ngamaphesenti ayi-11 uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika kuze kube manje kulo nyaka.
UMbusi weBhange laseKorea uCheung-yong Rhee uthe amanani awakwazi ukukuphika ukulandela i-Fed ukuze aphume ekulawuleni. IBhange laseKorea manje seliphakamise isibikezelo salo sokukhula kwenkomba yamanani abathengi (CPI) saya ku-5.2% kulo nyaka. I-CPI yaseNingizimu Korea ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-6.3 ngoJulayi kusukela ngonyaka odlule, isuka kumaphesenti angu-6 ngoJuni futhi isezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu kusukela enkingeni yezezimali kaNovemba 1998.
I-lira yaseTurkey engu-NO.5
Kulo nyaka, i-lira yaseTurkey yehle ngamaphesenti angaba ngu-26 kusukela maphakathi no-Agasti.
ITurkey manje "iyinkosi yokwehla kwamandla emali emhlabeni, ikhuphuka ngamaphesenti angu-79.6 ngonyaka ngoJulayi, okuyizinga eliphezulu leminyaka engu-24. E-Istanbul, idolobha elinabantu abaningi eTurkey, amanani akhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-99 ngoJulayi kusukela ngonyaka odlule.
Abathengisi baseTurkey bathi babevame ukuthenga izikhwama zokudla futhi bakhokhe imali engaphansi kuka-R100, kodwa manje sebengathenga amakhilogremu ambalwa ngama-dessert, ukudla okulula kanye ne-soda. AmaTurkey avumile ukuthi izinto eziyisisekelo zokuphila seziphenduke ukunethezeka, "esimweni esibi".
I-peso yase-Argentina engu-NO.6
Ukwehla kwamandla emali kufinyelele ku-71% ngoJulayi, okuyinani eliphakeme kakhulu eminyakeni ecishe ibe ngu-30, futhi izazi zomnotho bezilindele ukuthi kuzokhuphuka kakhulu kufike ku-90% ekupheleni konyaka! Okwamanje, i-Argentina peso (imakethe emnyama) idlule uphawu lwengqondo lwama-peso angu-300 ngoJulayi 19 futhi yehla yaba phansi kunawo wonke angama-peso angu-338 ngoJulayi 22. Emakethe esemthethweni, i-Argentina peso nayo ilahlekelwe ngu-37% uma iqhathaniswa nedola ngonyaka odlule.
I-Argentina ingumnotho ogxile ekuthumeleni kwamanye amazwe ongenisa izimpahla eziningi zabathengi. Ukwanda kwamandla omhlaba kanye nezinto zokusetshenziswa kanye nezinye izimpahla kuye kwakhuphula ukwehla kwamandla omhlaba ezingenisiwe, kuyilapho ukwehla okukhulu kwenani lemali kwandisa kakhulu ingcindezi yokwehla kwamandla omhlaba ezingenisiwe. Ukuze kuvinjelwe ukwehla kwamandla omhlaba, ibhange eliphakathi lase-Argentina lithengise amadola nsuku zonke ukuze ligweme ukubuthakatha i-peso.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ibhange eliphakathi lase-Argentina likhiphe iSaziso No. A7532 ngomhlaka-27 Juni, lelula ukungeniswa kwezilawuli zokushintshaniswa kwemali yangaphandle ohlelweni lokuxhasa ngezimali zokungenisa izinsizakalo kanye nemikhiqizo yamalayisense angewona othomathikhi izinyanga ezintathu kuze kube umhlaka-30 Septhemba kulo nyaka. Muva nje, i-Argentina Customs nayo yaqala ukuqeda ukwephulwa kokuhweba ngokungenisa nokuthumela ngaphandle, okubandakanya kakhulu ukubika okungamanga ngamanani ezimpahla ekuhwebeni ngokungenisa nokuthumela ngaphandle, njengama-invoyisi aphansi avulekile okuthumela ngaphandle kanye nama-invoyisi aphezulu okungenisa. Umjikelezo wokuqala wesenzo sokulungisa uhilele amabhizinisi angu-13,640 kanye nezinkampani ezingu-722, kanti intengo iyonke yezimpahla icishe ibe yizigidigidi zamaRandi zaseMelika ezingu-1.25.
Iphawundi laseGibhithe CHA.7
—— Amanani kakolweni emhlabeni wonke akhuphuke kakhulu, okwenza iGibhithe libe yizwe elingenisa ukolweni kakhulu emhlabeni, futhi bathinteka kakhulu, kanti ezinye izindleko zokudla zenyuka ngamaphesenti angama-66, okwenza ukwehla kwamandla emali kwanda kwaze kwaba ngamaphesenti ayi-15.
Iphawundi laseGibhithe okwamanje lihweba ngo-$19.1, okuyisilinganiso sesibili esiphansi kunazo zonke emlandweni, futhi lingaphansi kwalokho kuphela ngesikhathi sokuwa kwasebusika ngo-2016.
Abahwebi bakwamanye amazwe babike ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kwezimpahla eGibhithe kubambeke echwebeni ngoba abathengi abakwazi ukukhipha incwadi yesikweletu.
I-No.8 Hungarian Forint
Izimali ezinkulu eMpumalanga Yurophu nazo ziphinde zabhekana nobunzima obukhulu ngenxa yokwehla kwamandla emali endaweni ye-euro kanye ne-euro ebuthaka.
I-forint yaseHungary ayizange iphumelele ngisho nangaphezu kwe-lira yaseTurkey kulo nyaka, ilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti angaphezu kwama-26 uma iqhathaniswa nedola. Abezindaba baseHungary baze babika ngezihloko ezithi "I-Forin yayiyimali ebuthaka kakhulu emhlabeni", "I-Forin yashaywa kanzima" kanye nokuthi "I-Forin yawa ngokukhululeka uma iqhathaniswa nedola kanye ne-euro".
NO.9, Zloty, Poland
I-zloty yasePoland ilahlekelwe ngu-12% uma iqhathaniswa nedola kusukela ekupheleni kukaFebhuwari. Ukwehla kwamandla emali manje sekufinyelele ku-15.7%.
IPoland, ebilokhu ihlasela iRussia, nayo ibhekane nezijeziso eziphindiselwe emuva. IPoland ingumkhiqizi omkhulu wamandla amalahle eYurophu futhi ingumkhiqizi omkhulu wamalahle e-European Union, ikhiqiza amathani angaphezu kwezigidi ezingama-50 zamalahle ngonyaka, kodwa isathenga amalahle angaba yizigidi eziyi-12 ngonyaka kwamanye amazwe. Izigidi zemindeni yasePoland zizobhekana nokuntuleka kwamalahle ebusika kulandela isinqumo sikahulumeni wasePoland sokufaka izijeziso kumalahle aseRussia.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Okthoba-18-2022