UStephen Jen, owayesakuba yingcali yezimali kaMorgan Stanley, ucebise indlela edumileyo "yokumamatheka kwedola": idola iyaqina xa uqoqosho lubi kwaye luphumelela. Iibhloko zeTerminal yeDin Rail, IiHood ze-D-Sub kwaye Izinto Zokubonakalisa Ukhuseleko Lwendlela kufuneka kuqatshelwe.
Ngenxa yokunyuka kwe-—— kwe-FED njenge-eagle rate, i-dollar index ifikelele kwinqanaba eliphezulu kwiminyaka engama-20, kwaye iimali ezingezizo ezaseMelika zehla kakhulu.
Ngenxa yemeko yangoku yedola yaseMelika kwinkqubo yemali yehlabathi, urhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe luhlala luxhomekeke kwidola yaseMelika. Xa ixabiso lemali yelizwe lendawo lihla kakhulu xa lithelekiswa nedola yaseMelika, iindleko zokungenisa ziya kunyuka kakhulu ngaxeshanye. Ngoko ke sibone abathengi abaninzi phakathi kwabathengi abangengabo abaseMelika befuna izaphulelo, iintlawulo ezirhoxisiweyo, kunye nokurhoxiswa.
Oku kulandelayo kukuhla kwexabiso okukhulu kulo nyaka kwamanye amazwe, abantu abathengisa kwamanye amazwe abathumela ezi marike, kufuneka banikele ingqalelo kukhuseleko lwentlawulo!
INOMBOLO 1 yee-euro
I-euro iye yehla nge-15% xa ithelekiswa nedola ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kulo nyaka. Ngomhla wama-22 ku-Agasti, i-euro yehla ngaphantsi komlinganiselo xa ithelekiswa nedola okwesibini kulo nyaka, yehla yaya kwi-0.9926, elona nqanaba liphantsi ukusukela ngo-2002. Kwaye ukwehla kwexabiso le-euro kubonakala ngathi kusandula ukuqala.
UMorgan Stanley ulindele ukuba i-euro iwele kwi-0.97 kule kota njengoko i-Fed isiya iqina, kwaye uNomura ujolise kwi-0.975 ekupheleni kukaSeptemba, ngaphambi kokuba iimarike zilindele i-0.95 okanye ngaphantsi njengoko uxinzelelo lombane lunyusa umngcipheko wokucima kombane.
Iingcali zezoqoqosho zilindele ukuba i-CPI ye-euro zone ifikelele kwi-9% ngo-Agasti, enye irekhodi ephezulu kwaye iphindwe kane kunethagethi ye-2%, ngelixa i-euro ebuthathaka yenze iingxaki zokunyuka kwamaxabiso zibe mandundu ngakumbi ngokunyusa iindleko zokungenisa impahla kwamanye amazwe.
Hayi. Iikhilogram ezi-2
Iponti ifumene eyona nyanga imbi kakhulu ukusukela kwivoti yeBrexit ka-2016 ngo-Agasti, xa yehla ngaphezulu kwe-4% xa ithelekiswa nedola. I-Sterling iwile nge-11.8% xa ithelekiswa nedola ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kulo nyaka, nto leyo eyenza ukuba ibe yenye yeemali ezingasebenzi kakuhle kwi-G10.
UGoldman Sachs ukholelwa ukuba iBritane isenokuwela kwingxaki yokudodobala koqoqosho kwikota yesine. ICiti iqikelela ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-UK kuza kudlula kwi-18 ekhulwini ngoJanuwari 2023.
Intsha ye-NO. 3
I-yen itshintshile kancinci yaza yehla ngaphezulu kwedola yaya kwi-Y 139.50 kwimarike yemali yaseTokyo nge-1 kaSeptemba, eli linqanaba layo liphantsi kwiminyaka engama-24. Ngo-Agasti kuphela, i-yen yehle phantse nge-4% kwaye yehle ngaphezulu kwe-18% ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kulo nyaka!
Nangona kunjalo, iBhanki yaseJapan ayikulungelanga ukungenelela kwi-yen ebuthathaka. UHaruhiko Kuroda, umongameli weBhanki yaseJapan, kutshanje ugxininise ukuba umgaqo-nkqubo wezemali awusekelwanga kwi-yen, kodwa usekelwe kumaxabiso.
I-yen ebuthathaka ngokwenene ilungile kwiimpahla ezithunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, kodwa ikwakhokelele kumaxabiso aphezulu ezinto ezikrwada ezingeniswa kwamanye amazwe. Malunga nama-60 ekhulwini eenkampani eziphandwe zithi ukusebenza kwazo kuchaphazeleke kakubi kukuhla ngokukhawuleza kwexabiso le-yen, ngokutsho kophando olwenziwe yi-Imperial Japan Data Bank. Kwiinkampani ezingaphezu kwe-10,000 eziphandwe zizinto, ama-61 ekhulwini athi i-yen ebuthathaka "inempembelelo embi". I-Imperial Data Bank ithe ukuhla kwexabiso le-yen kukhokelele ekwandeni kweempahla ezithunyelwa kwamanye amazwe akubonakali, kodwa kwanyusa ixabiso lokungenisa kwamanye amazwe.
I-NO.4 iphumelele
I-won yaseMzantsi Korea yehle yaya kwinqanaba layo eliphantsi ukusukela ngo-2009, kwaye yehle nge-11% xa ithelekiswa nedola yaseMelika ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kulo nyaka.
Urhuluneli weBhanki yaseKorea uCheung-yong Rhee uthe amaxabiso akanakukuthintela emva kokuba iFed iphume kulawulo. IBhanki yaseKorea ngoku inyuse uqikelelo lwayo lokukhula kwe-consumer price index (CPI) ukuya kwi-5.2% kulo nyaka. I-CPI yaseMzantsi Korea inyuke nge-6.3% ngoJulayi ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo, ukusuka kwi-6% ngoJuni kwaye kwinqanaba eliphezulu ukusukela kwingxaki yezemali kaNovemba 1998.
I-lira yaseTurkey ye-NO.5
Kulo nyaka, ixabiso le-lira yaseTurkey liye lehla malunga nama-26 ekhulwini phakathi ku-Agasti.
ITurkey ngoku "ngukumkani wehlabathi wokunyuka kwamaxabiso, enyuka ngama-79.6 ekhulwini ngonyaka ngoJulayi, ukuphakama kweminyaka engama-24. E-Istanbul, isixeko esinabemi abaninzi eTurkey, amaxabiso anyuke ngama-99 ekhulwini ngoJulayi ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo.
Abathengisi baseTurkey bathi babethenga iingxowa zokutya baze bahlawule ngaphantsi kwe-100 lielas, kodwa ngoku banokuthenga iiponti ezimbalwa zeedizethi, izimuncumuncu kunye nesoda. AmaTurkey avumile ukuba izinto ezisisiseko zokuphila zaba bubunewunewu, "kwimeko embi".
I-peso yaseArgentina ye-NO.6
Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kufikelele kwi-71% ngoJulayi, eyona iphezulu kwiminyaka ephantse ibe ngama-30, kwaye iingcali zezoqoqosho bezilindele ukuba kunyuke ngakumbi ukuya kwi-90% ekupheleni konyaka! Okwangoku, i-Argentina peso (imarike emnyama) idlule kuphawu lwengqondo lwe-300 peso ngoJulayi 19 yaza yehla yaya kutsho kwi-338 peso ngoJulayi 22. Kwimarike esemthethweni, i-Argentina peso ilahlekelwe yi-37% xa ithelekiswa nedola kunyaka ophelileyo.
IArgentina lilizwe eligxile ekuthumeleni impahla kwamanye amazwe elithumela impahla eninzi yabathengi. Ukwanda kwamandla kunye nezinto ezisetyenziswa kwamanye amazwe kunye nezinye izinto ezithengiswayo kuye kwanyusa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwamanye amazwe, ngelixa ukwehla okukhulu kwexabiso lemali kwandisa uxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwamanye amazwe. Ukuthintela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, ibhanki ephakathi yaseArgentina ithengisa iidola yonke imihla ukuze ithintele ukubuthathaka kwe-peso.
Ukongeza, ibhanki ephakathi yaseArgentina ikhuphe iSaziso No. A7532 ngomhla wama-27 kuJuni, songeza ukungeniswa kolawulo lokutshintshiselana kwemali yangaphandle kwinkqubo yokuxhasa ngezimali yokungenisa iinkonzo kunye neemveliso zelayisenisi ezingezizo ezenzekelayo kangangeenyanga ezintathu ukuya kumhla wama-30 kuSeptemba kulo nyaka. Kutshanje, i-Argentina Customs nayo iqalile ukucinezela ukwaphulwa korhwebo lokungenisa nokuthumela ngaphandle, ikakhulu kubandakanya ingxelo yobuxoki yamaxabiso eempahla kurhwebo lokungenisa nokuthumela ngaphandle, njengee-invoyisi ezivulekileyo eziphantsi kunye nee-invoyisi eziphezulu zokungenisa. Umjikelo wokuqala wesenzo sokulungisa wawubandakanya amashishini ali-13,640 kunye neenkampani ezingama-722, apho ixabiso lilonke leempahla limalunga ne-1.25 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi zaseMelika.
Iponti yaseYiputa yeNombolo 7
—— Amaxabiso engqolowa ehlabathini lonke anyukile, nto leyo eyenza iYiputa ibe lelona lizwe lithenga ingqolowa kwamanye amazwe, kwaye bachaphazeleka kakhulu, apho ezinye iindleko zokutya zinyuke ngama-66 ekhulwini, nto leyo enyusa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ukuya kwi-15 ekhulwini.
Iponti yase-Egypt okwangoku irhweba kwi-$19.1, eyesibini isezantsi kwirekhodi, kwaye ingaphantsi koko kuphela ngexesha lokuwa kwebusika ngo-2016.
Abarhwebi bamanye amazwe baxele ukuba ukuthunyelwa kwempahla eJiphutha kuxinekile echwebeni kuba abathengi abakwazi ukukhupha ileta yetyala.
I-Number 8 yeForint yaseHungary
Iimali ezinkulu eMpuma Yurophu nazo ziye zachaphazeleka kwakhona kukwehla kwamandla emali kwi-eurozone kunye ne-euro ebuthathaka.
I-forint yaseHungary ayikaze iphumelele kakhulu kune-lira yaseTurkey kulo nyaka, ilahlekelwe ngaphezulu kwama-26 ekhulwini xa ithelekiswa nedola. Amajelo eendaba aseHungary ade axela ngezihloko ezithi "iForin yayiyeyona mali ibuthathaka kakhulu kwihlabathi", "iForin yatshayiswa kakhulu" kunye "neForin yawa ngokukhululekileyo xa ithelekiswa nedola kunye ne-euro".
NO.9, Zloty, Poland
I-zloty yasePoland ilahlekelwe yi-12% xa ithelekiswa nedola ukusukela ekupheleni kukaFebruwari. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ngoku kufikelele kwi-15.7%.
IPoland, ebisoloko ijolise eRashiya, nayo ijongene nezohlwayo ezingasemva. IPoland ngumvelisi omkhulu wamandla amalahle eYurophu kwaye yeyona mveliso inkulu yamalahle kwiManyano yaseYurophu, ivelisa ngaphezulu kweetoni ezingama-50 ezigidi zamalahle ngonyaka, kodwa isathenga ngaphandle malunga neetoni ezili-12 ezigidi zamalahle ngonyaka. Izigidi zemizi yasePoland ziya kujongana nokunqongophala kwamalahle ebusika emva kwesigqibo sikarhulumente wasePoland sokubeka izohlwayo kumalahle aseRashiya.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Okthobha-18-2022