Mu minsi ishize, bitewe n’imimerere iri mu Burusiya na Ukraine, igipimo cy’ivunjisha, ibikoresho fatizo n’ibindi bintu by’ingenzi bijyanye n’ibiciro by’ubucuruzi bw’amahanga byarahindutse cyane. Ni gute abacuruzi b’abanyamahanga twabyitwaramo kugira ngo twirinde ibyago? Ibyuma bya screw terminal block, Umugore uhuza na Akagarura-rumuri ka moto bigomba kwitabwaho.
Impact ya RMB ni amanota 6.3!
Ku munsi wa mbere w’ubucuruzi muri uyu mwaka, igipimo cy’uburinganire cyashyizwe kuri 6.3794 ugereranyije n’idolari rya Amerika. Ku ya 1 Werurwe, igipimo cy’uburinganire cyashyizwe kuri 6.3014 yuan, kikaba ari cyo kinini cyane mu myaka irenga itatu n’igice, cyazamutseho amanota arenga 700 kuva umwaka utangira.
Mu mezi abiri ya mbere ya 2022, kugeza saa 18h00 ku ya 28 Gashyantare, RMB yo ku nkombe yari kuri 6.3074, yazamutseho 1.03% mu mwaka; RMB yo ku nkombe y’inyanja yageze ku gipimo cyo hejuru cya 6.3089 mu masaha y’umunsi, hasi cyane ikaba 6.3275, yazamutseho 0.86% mu mwaka.
Ugarutse umwaka umwe, inyungu irahinduka.
Iyi ngeso ituma abantu benshi bakora ubucuruzi bw'amahanga bashaka kurira amarira.
Ntidushobora kwirinda kwibaza tuti:
Igipimo cy’idorari cyazamutse cyose kigera kuri 96 (ni cyo kinini cyane kuva muri Nyakanga 2020), none kuki Yuan itarajya mu buryo ubwo aribwo bwose?
Imiterere mpuzamahanga yatumye ifaranga riva kuri euro rijya kuri won, none kuki Yuan ikomeje kuzamuka mu myaka ine?
Ibi biterwa nuko, mbere na mbere, mu gice cya kabiri cy'umwaka ushize, cyane cyane mu gihembwe cya kane, RMB yagaragaje itandukaniro ridasanzwe hagati y'idorari rya Amerika n'igipimo cya DOLLAR, hamwe n'igipimo cy'idorari rya Amerika gikomeye, RMB irakomeye kurusha idorari rya Amerika.
Icya kabiri, muri iki gihe, amafaranga gakondo yo mu bwigunge nk'imikorere y'ubwigunge bw'ifaranga rya Euro yaragabanutse, maze isoko ritangira gushaka imitungo mishya yo mu bwigunge. Bitewe n'iterambere ry'imibereho myiza ry'abaturage mu Bushinwa, politiki y'imari n'iy'imari ihamye hamwe n'inyungu nyinshi ku mitungo, imitungo ya RMB irushaho gukundwa n'abashoramari mpuzamahanga, kandi igipimo cy'ivunjisha kigenda kizamuka buhoro buhoro.
Mu gihe gito, imiterere y’umutungo wa RMB n’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga byitezwe ko imitungo y’amahanga n’ibicuruzwa byagurishijwe bizashyigikira igipimo cy’ivunjisha gikomeje gukomera.
Han Fuling, umwarimu w’imari muri Kaminuza Nkuru y’Imari n’Ubukungu, yavuze ko iterambere ry’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga mu Bushinwa ryageze ku rwego rwo hejuru mu 2021, kandi ko iterambere ry’ubucuruzi bw’amahanga rishobora kugabanuka mu 2022. Agizweho ingaruka n’ibintu bifitanye isano, yahanuye ko izamuka riherutse ugereranije n’idolari, ahazaza hazaba hameze neza, ihindagurika ry’impande zombi, izamuka n’igabanuka ni ibisanzwe.
Ruble yagabanutseho 30%!
Kuva intambara yatangira ku ya 24 Gashyantare, igiciro cya ruble y'Uburusiya cyakomeje kugabanuka.
Ku ya 24 Gashyantare, Ruble y'Uburusiya yagabanutse igera kuri 1:86 ugereranyije n'idolari rya Amerika, urwego rwo hasi cyane kuva muri Mutarama 2016. Ruble yagabanutse igera kuri 1:99.99 ugereranyije n'ifaranga rya euro, urwego rwo hasi cyane kuva mu Ukuboza 2014.
Ariko iyi ni intangiriro gusa. Ku itariki ya 28 Gashyantare, ku isaha ya Beijing, saa kumi n'imwe n'igice z'umugoroba, ruble yagabanutse igera kuri ruble 109 ugereranyije na 1 ugereranije n'idolari, yagabanutseho ibirenze 30%, irenga cyane urugero rw'ingenzi rw'imitekerereze rw'idolari 1 ugereranyije na ruble 100, yongera gushyiraho amateka mashya.
Ku ya 28 Gashyantare, banki nkuru y'Uburusiya yazamuye igipimo cy'inyungu ku gipimo cy'inguzanyo iva kuri 9.5% igera kuri 20%. Itangazo ryashyizwe ahagaragara na banki nkuru rivuga ko ibidukikije byo hanze by'ubukungu bw'Uburusiya byahindutse cyane, aho inyungu z'ingenzi zigamije kubungabunga ihindagurika ry'imari n'ibiciro no kurinda ubwizigame bw'abaturage mu ifaranga ryangiritse. Idorari ryagabanutse ugereranije na ruble nyuma y'uko banki nkuru izamuye igipimo cy'inyungu, nyuma yo gufunga kuri 94.6 no kugabanukaho 13%.
Ariko abaturage b'Abarusiya batangiye gutondeka umurongo kuri ATM kugira ngo babikuremo amadovize mu gihe ruble ikomeje kugabanuka.
Kugeza ku ya 27 Gashyantare, mu Burusiya, urusobe runini rw'imigati, amagi, amata n'ibindi biciro bisanzwe by'ibiribwa ntibyagaragaye ko byazamutse cyangwa bigabanutse, ariko ibikoresho byo mu rugo, telefoni zigendanwa, imodoka n'ibindi biciro by'ibicuruzwa bifite agaciro gakomeye n'ibicuruzwa byagurishijwe bigizweho ingaruka n'igabanuka ry'agaciro ka ruble, hari abanyeshuri benshi mu Burusiya ku mbuga nkoranyambaga batangije ibicuruzwa by'akataraboneka ku mukozi w'uhagarariye.
Guhagarika amwe mu mabanki y’u Burusiya mu buryo bwa SWIFT bwo kwishyurana bivuze ko bizayahagarika mu buryo bwa banki mpuzamahanga kandi ntibizashobora kwishyura ku mipaka, bityo bigira ingaruka ku bucuruzi mpuzamahanga.
Kubwibyo, mu rwego rw'ubucuruzi bw'amahanga, abakiriya benshi b'Abarusiya baza kubaza niba kwishyura bishobora guhinduka RMB; ku rundi ruhande, abakiriya benshi bo muri Ukraine bahagaritse ibyo batumiza, kandi abakiriya benshi bo mu Burayi bw'Iburasirazuba (nka Polonye) nabo barabigiraho ingaruka.
Ni gute abacuruzi b'abanyamahanga birinda ibyago?
Muri iki gihe, ingaruka zibangamiye inganda zacu z'ubucuruzi bw'amahanga ahanini ziri mu bice bitatu:
01
Uburusiya bufite hafi 6% by'umusaruro wa aluminiyumu ku isi na hafi 7% by'umusaruro wa nikeli ku isi. Ihungabana, ibyago byo kuboneka ku isoko byongera, ibiciro bya aluminiyumu, nikeli byariyongereye. Aluminium, nikeli n'ibindi bikoresho fatizo byarazamutse, ibiciro by'ibigo by'ubucuruzi birazamuka.
02
Ihindagurika ry'ibiciro by'ivunjisha ririyongera, kandi ibiciro biragoye kubibara.
03
Amwe mu masosiyete yo mu Burayi bw'Iburasirazuba agizweho ingaruka n'ikibazo n'igipimo cy'ivunjisha, kandi ibyago byo kwishyurwa kwacu biriyongera.
Tugomba kwitegura vuba muri ibi bice:
01 Kugenzura ingaruka z'ivunjisha
Gusobanukirwa ishingiro ry’ihindagurika ry’ivunjisha rya RMB, idolari rya Amerika na euro;
Igisubizo gikwiye ku ihindagurika ry'ivunjisha rya RMB kugira ngo hirindwe ko inyungu ziyongera.
02 Igenzura ry'umutekano w'ikusanyirizwa ry'amadovize
Impinduka muri SWIFT nyuma yo kuva mu Burusiya n'igisubizo;
Igisubizo cy'ejo hazaza ku bucuruzi bw'Uburusiya;
Inama zo kwakira amafaranga aturutse ku bakiriya bo mu Burayi bw'Iburasirazuba.
03 Kugenzura ikiguzi cy'ibikoresho fatizo
Birasabwa gutangira gutegura ibikoresho hakiri kare bishoboka.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Werurwe-07-2022





