Mumazuva achangopfuura, zvichikanganiswa nemamiriro ezvinhu muRussia neUkraine, mwero wekutsinhana kwemari, zvinhu zvakagadzirwa nezvimwe zvinhu zvakakosha zvine chekuita nemitengo yekutengeserana kunze kwenyika zvakachinja zvakanyanya. Isu vatengesi vekune dzimwe nyika tinofanira kubata sei nazvo kuti tidzivise njodzi? Chivharo cheSikuruu Chekuvharira, Chinobatanidza Chechikadzi uye Chiratidziro chemudhudhudhu zvinofanira kucherechedzwa.
RMB impact 6.3 mark!
Muzuva rekutanga rekutengeserana regore rino, chiyero chepakati chakaiswa pa6.3794 chichienzaniswa nedhora rekuAmerica. Musi wa1 Kurume, chiyero chepakati chakaiswa pa6.3014 yuan, chakakwira kupfuura makore matatu nehafu, chakakwira kupfuura 700 basis points kubva pakutanga kwegore.
Mumwedzi miviri yekutanga ya2022, kubva na18:00 musi wa28 Kukadzi, RMB yekunze kwenyika yaive pa6.3074, yakakwira ne1.03% mugore; RMB yekunze kwenyika yakakwira mukati mezuva ne6.3089, yakaderera yaive 6.3275, yakakwira ne0.86% mugore.
Kana zvasvika gore, purofiti inodzima poindi.
Maitiro aya anoita kuti vanhu vazhinji vanotengeserana kunze kwenyika vade kuchema misodzi.
Hatigoni kurega kubvunza kuti:
Nhamba yedhora yakwira kusvika pa96 (yakakwira zvikuru kubva muna Chikunguru 2020), saka sei yuan isina kuenda divi rimwe chete?
Mamiriro ezvinhu epasi rose adzikisa mari kubva kueuro kuenda kumari yewon, saka sei yuan ichiramba iri padanho repamusoro kwemakore mana?
Izvi zvinodaro nekuti, kutanga, muhafu yechipiri yegore rapfuura, kunyanya muchikamu chechina chegore, RMB yakaratidza musiyano usingawanzoitiki pakati pedhora rekuAmerica nedollar index, nedhora rekuAmerica rakasimba, RMB yakasimba kupfuura dhora rekuAmerica.
Chechipiri, mumamiriro ezvinhu aripo iye zvino, mari dzechinyakare dzekuchengetedza dzakadai se euro safe haven dzakaderera, uye musika wakatanga kutsvaga midziyo mitsva yekuchengetedza. Nekuda kwenzvimbo yakagadzikana yekuvandudza magariro evanhu muChina, mutemo wezvemari nezvemari wakangwara uye purofiti yakakwira pazvinhu, midziyo yeRMB iri kufarirwa zvakanyanya nevanoisa mari vepasi rose, uye mwero wekutsinhana mari uri kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma.
Munguva pfupi, "nzvimbo yakachengeteka" yezvinhu zveRMB uye kuda kwevatengesi vekunze kwemari yekunze uye kutengesa zvinotarisirwa kutsigira mwero wekuchinjana mari unoramba wakasimba.
Han Fuling, purofesa wezvemari paCentral University of Finance and Economics, akati kukura kwekutengeserana kunze kwenyika kweChina kwakasvika pamusoro pegore ra2021, uye kukura kwekutengeserana kunze kwenyika kunogona kudzikira muna 2022. Achikanganiswa nezvinhu zvine chekuita nazvo, akafanotaura kuti kukwira kwemari munguva pfupi yapfuura kana tichienzanisa nedhora, ramangwana richave rakagadzikana, kuchinja-chinja kwemativi maviri, kukwira nekudzika kwakajairika.
Ruble yadonha ne30%!
Kubva pakatanga gakava iri musi wa24 Kukadzi, mari yeRussian ruble yave ichidzikira nguva dzese.
Musi wa24 Kukadzi, ruble yeRussia yakaderera kusvika pa1:86 zvichienzaniswa nedhora rekuAmerica, chiyero chidiki kubva muna Ndira 2016. Ruble yakaderera kusvika pa1:99.99 zvichienzaniswa neeuro, chiyero chidiki kubva muna Zvita 2014.
Asi uku kungori kutanga. Nenguva dza15:30 PM musi wa28 Kukadzi, panguva yeBeijing, ruble yakadonha kusvika pa109 ruble ichienzaniswa ne1 ichienzaniswa nedhora, ichiderera ne30%, ichipfuura zvakanyanya chiyero chakakosha chepfungwa chedhora rimwe chete ichienzaniswa ne100 ruble, zvichiisa zvakare rekodhi itsva yenhoroondo.
Musi wa28 Kukadzi, bhangi guru reRussia rakasimudza mubereko we index kubva pa9.5% kusvika pa20%. Chirevo chakaburitswa nebhangi guru chakati mamiriro ekunze ehupfumi hweRussia akachinja zvikuru, nekuwedzera kwemubereko kwakakosha kwakanangana nekuchengetedza kugadzikana kwemari nemitengo uye kudzivirira mari inochengetedzwa nevagari kubva mukuderera kwemari. Dhora rakadonha richienzaniswa neruble mushure mekunge bhangi guru rasimudza mubereko, mushure mekuvharwa pa94.6 uye nekudzoserwa kwe13%.
Asi vagari vekuRussia vatanga kumira mumutsara kuATM kuti vatore mari yekunze kana ruble ikaramba ichidonha.
Parizvino muRussia, kubva musi wa27 Kukadzi, mitengo mikuru yechingwa, mazai, mukaka nezvimwe zvekudya zvaionekwa sezviri pachena, asi midziyo yemumba, nharembozha, mota nezvimwe zvinhu zvinokosha uye mitengo yekutengesa zvinokanganiswa nekuderera kweruble, kwave nevadzidzi vakawanda muRussia musocial media platform vakatanga zvinhu zveumbozha vachimiririra mumiriri.
Kubviswa kwemamwe mabhanga ekuRussia muhurongwa hwekubhadhara hweSWIFT zvinoreva kuti zvichavabvisa muhurongwa hwemabhanga epasi rose uye hazvizokwanisi kubhadhara mari kubva kune dzimwe nyika, zvichikanganisa kutengeserana kwenyika dzese.
Saka, munyaya dzekutengeserana kwekunze, vatengi vazhinji vekuRussia vanouya kuzobvunza kana muripo wacho uchigona kuchinjwa kuita RMB; kune rumwe rutivi, vatengi vazhinji vekuUkraine vakamisa maodha, uye vatengi vazhinji vekuEastern Europe (vakaita sePoland) vanokanganiswawo.
Vatengesi vekune dzimwe nyika vanodzivisa sei njodzi iyi?
Parizvino, njodzi dziri kutarisana neindasitiri yedu yekutengeserana nedzimwe nyika dziri muzvikamu zvitatu:
01
Russia ndiyo inoumba inenge 6% yekugadzirwa kwearuminiyamu pasi rose uye inenge 7% yekugadzirwa kwenickel pasi rose. Kusagadzikana, njodzi yekuwanikwa kwezvinhu yakawedzera mumusika, mitengo yearuminiyamu, nickel yakakwira. Aruminiyamu, nickel nezvimwe zvinhu zvakabikwa zvakakwira, mitengo yebhizinesi yakakwira.
02
Kuchinja-chinja kwemari yekuchinjana mari kuri kuwedzera, uye mitengo yacho yakaoma kuverenga.
03
Mamwe makambani ekuEastern Europe anokanganiswa nemamiriro ezvinhu pamwe nemutengo wekutsinhana kwemari, uye njodzi yekuunganidza mari yedu iri kuwedzera.
Tinofanira kugadzirira nekukurumidza munzvimbo idzi:
01 Kudzora njodzi dzemari yekutsinhana
Kunzwisisa pfungwa dzemukati dzekuchinja-chinja kwemari yeRMB, US dollar uye euro;
Mhinduro ine musoro kukuchinja-chinja kwemari yeRMB kudzivirira kudya purofiti yakawanda.
02 Kudzora kuchengetedzeka kwekuunganidza mari yekunze
Shanduko muSWIFT mushure mekubuda muRussia uye mhinduro;
Mhinduro yeramangwana kukutengeserana kweRussia;
Mazano ekugamuchira mari kubva kuvatengi vekuEastern Europe.
03 Kudzora mutengo wezvinhu zvisina kugadzirwa
Zvinokurudzirwa kutanga kugadzirira zvinhu nekukurumidza sezvinobvira.
Nguva yekutumira: Kurume-07-2022