Kusukela kungene ngoJuni, ukuthambekela kokwehla kwe-RMB kusobala, futhi ububanzi bokushintshashintsha nakho sebusezingeni elifanele. Kuyithuba elihle lokuthi I-PCB Screw Terminal Block, izixhumi zephini kanye nesokhethifuthi i-electroform yokubonisainsimu.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, maqondana nokusetshenziswa kwemali yangaphandle, idatha yaseShayina yokuthumela ngaphandle kanye nokuhweba okungaphezulu ngoMeyi yayiphansi kunalokho obekulindelwe, ukukhuphuka kwamanani ezimpahla kuholele ekukhuphukeni okukhulu kokungeniswa kwempahla unyaka nonyaka, kanye nokwenyuka kwenkokhelo yokungeniswa kwemali yangaphandle ekuhlinzekweni nasekudingweni kwemali yangaphandle kanye nezinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB nakho kubonakala kancane kancane.
Ngesikhathi esifanayo, imakethe yamuva nje yokuthenga ukushintshaniswa kwemali yangaphandle inomdlandla kakhulu. Ngokuvamile kusukela ngoJuni kuya kuJulayi, abatshalizimali bangaphandle kanye nezinkampani ezisohlwini lwaphesheya zizongena esicongweni sesizini sokukhokhwa kwezabelo. Njengamanje, isidingo sokuthengwa kwemali yangaphandle siletha nengcindezi ethile yokwehla kwenani ku-RMB.
Kusukela endaweni yangaphandle, inkomba yamanani abathengi base-US (CPI) ngoMeyi yanda ngo-5% ngonyaka uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka eminyakeni eyi-13, okuphakamisa ukukhathazeka mayelana nokuqina kwenqubomgomo yezimali ye-Fed, inkomba yedola iphakeme, i-yuan ingase ibe ngaphansi kwengcindezi.
Ukuntuleka kwemali kwesikhathi esifushane kwemakethe yokushintshaniswa kwemali yangaphandle kuzobhekana nomthelela omkhulu. Bebheke phambili esigabeni esilandelayo, abahlaziyi abaningi balindele ukuthi izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB kunzima ukulishiya emkhubeni wokwazisa ozimele. Njengoba "ifasitela" lokukhululeka kwe-Federal Reserve lisondela, izici eziningi zaqinisa idola kancane kancane, futhi izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB cishe lizobhekana nengcindezi eyehlayo engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka.
01 Ukwehluka okulindelekile emakethe ngesilinganiso sokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB
Kusukela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB uma kuqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika lihlale lishintshashintsha futhi lizinzile, kodwa umkhuba wokwanda okuqhubekayo nokusheshayo uvele ngo-Ephreli nangoMeyi, okudonsele ukunaka okwengeziwe. Ekupheleni kukaMeyi, kokubili i-RMB yolwandle kanye neyolwandle ikhuphuke yaya ku-6.35 yuan, okuphakeme cishe eminyakeni emithathu. Ezisekelweni zomnotho azibonakali izinguquko eziningi kakhulu, kukhona ukwehla okusheshayo kwezinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB kunengozi ethile yokulungiswa ngokweqile.
Ngenxa yalokhu, iziphathimandla ezilawulayo zigcizelele ukuthi "ukuguquguquka kwezindlela ezimbili kuyinto evamile", "zilwa ngokuphelele nazo zonke izinhlobo zokukhwabanisa kwemakethe okunonya kanye nokukhiqizwa okunonya kokulindela okuhlangothini olulodwa", "ungabheki ekukhuleni noma ekwehleni kwezinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB, ukugembula kuzolahlekelwa isikhathi eside", futhi kwethula ezinye izindlela eziqondiwe zokuzinzisa nokuqondisa okulindelwe emakethe.
Abahlanganyeli bemakethe baveze ukuthi imihlangano ebalulekile yakamuva kanye neziphathimandla ezilawulayo ziphawule ngodaba lwezinga lokushintshisana izikhathi eziningi, futhi zaphakamisa isilinganiso sokugcina samadiphozithi okushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe ezikhungweni zezimali kanye nezinye izimpawu zokulungiswa kwenqubomgomo yokushintshashintsha kwezinga lokushintshisana le-RMB, kanye nokulindelwe kwezinga lokushintshisana le-RMB emakethe nakho kuyahlukaniswa.
UTang Jianwei, umcwaningi oyinhloko e-Financial Research Center yeBhange Lezokuxhumana, uthe iziphathimandla zokushintshanisa imali zasekhaya zihoxile ekungeneleleni okuvamile emakethe yokushintshanisa imali yangaphandle, kodwa zizoqhubeka nokuqondisa okulindelwe emakethe ngamathuluzi athile enqubomgomo ukukhuthaza izici zokuguquguquka kwezindlela ezimbili zesilinganiso sokushintshanisa se-RMB.
Inkomba yedola ngeke yehle isikhathi eside
Ukuvuselelwa kwezimali okunamandla kungase kusheshise ukululama komnotho wase-US, ngaleyo ndlela kuqiniswe idola. Muva nje, i-United States ihlela futhi iphoqa uhlelo olusha lokuvuselela izimali ukuze yethule uhlelo lokuvuselela izimali oluyizigidigidi eziyisithupha zamaRandi.
Nakuba "kuzodingeka kube nochungechunge lobunzima ekusetshenzisweni kohlelo lokukhuthaza ezezimali, amathemba amahle ngekusasa lomnotho wase-US kanye nomphumela osebenzayo wezinyathelo ezithile kungaba ngenye yezinto ezishukumisa ukuqiniswa kwedola laseMelika ngezikhathi ezithile, futhi izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB kunzima ukuphuma emkhubeni wokwazisa wePingchuan," kusho isazi sezomnotho esikhulu sokutshalwa kwezimali sikaZhixin kanye nomongameli wesikhungo socwaningo uLian Ping.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-United States namanye amazwe athuthukile kulindeleke ukuthi afinyelele ekugomeni komhlambi kwikota yesithathu, kanti i-PMI eYurophu nase-United States ifinyelele ezingeni elisha esikhathini esizayo esiseduze, okubonisa ukuthi umfutho wokululama komnotho uqina kakhulu, futhi izinzuzo ezilinganiselwe zezisekelo zomnotho zaseShayina zizoncipha.
ULian Ping uthe esikhathini samanje nesesikhathini esizayo, umnotho wase-US ungase udlule i-euro zone ngezindlela eziningi, futhi inkomba yedola ingaqina njalo. Futhi izingozi zomhlaba wonke zezombusazwe nazo zizokhuphula kancane kancane isidingo sedola.
UTang Jianwei uphinde wagcizelela ukuthi ukuncipha "kwegebe lokukhula" komnotho wase-US engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka nakho kuzoba yisici esibalulekile ekwehleni kwenani le-RMB exchange rate.
Uqaphele ukuthi umnotho wase-US ungaphinde uqinise idola engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka. Ngaphezu kwalokho, kulo nyaka, umnotho wase-China uzobonisa ukuthambekela "kokuphezulu nokuphansi", kuyilapho i-United States nomhlaba wonke kungenzeka "kuphansi nokuphezulu". Ukuncipha "komehluko wokukhula" komnotho wase-US engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka kuzobeka ingcindezi esilinganisweni sokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB. Nakuba izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB liqhubekile nokukhuphuka muva nje, ngeke liphume ekuthambekeleni kokukhuphuka kwe-single-one, kodwa ingcindezi inkulu.
Izici zokuvimbela nokulawula ubhubhane nazo zizoba usizo olubalulekile ekukhuliseni idola elinamandla. UZhang Yu, umhlaziyi omkhulu we-Huachuang Securities, ukholelwa ukuthi lo mjikelezo wokuvimbela nokulawula ubhubhane ungcono kuneYurophu. Nakuba izici zesikhathi esifushane njengokugoma okusheshayo eYurophu ziye zenza idola laba buthaka ezinyangeni ezimbili ezedlule, azikwazi ukuvimbela idola ukuthi libuye esikhathini esimaphakathi neside, futhi i-RMB ingase isondele endaweni yokwehla kwenani.
Ukuvumelanisa kwenqubomgomo yezimali yaseShayina neyase-US kungase kucindezele izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB. "Uma i-United States ikhuphula izinga lenzalo, kungenzeka ukuthi i-China ngeke ilandele ngokushesha, futhi ukusabalala kwenzalo phakathi kwe-China ne-United States kuzoncipha kakhulu, noma kungase kube nokusabalala okuphambene kancane kancane, okuzoqinisa idola." "" kusho uLian Ping.
Izinga lokushintshisana le-RMB lika-2003 libhekene nengcindezi yokwehla kwenani phakathi nonyaka
Ngaphansi kohlelo lwamanje lwezinga lokushintshanisa, izinga lokushintshanisa le-RMB kulindeleke ukuthi ligcine ukuguquguquka okubili. UPan Gongsheng, umqondisi we-State Administration of Foreign Exchange, uthe eLujiazui Forum ukuthi kunezinto eziningi ezingaqinisekile kanye nezici ezingazinzile endaweni yangaphandle ezithinta izinguquko zezinga lokushintshanisa. Ukuphathwa kwengozi yezinga lokushintshanisa lebhizinisi kufanele kugweme ukuziphatha "okuhambisana nomjikelezo" kanye "nokungabi nalutho", ungabheki ekuqondeni noma ekwehleni kwe-RMB, ukugembula kuzolahlekelwa isikhathi eside.
Abahlanganyeli abaningi emakethe bakholelwa ukuthi engxenyeni yesibili yalo nyaka, ingcindezi yokwehla kwenani le-RMB exchange rate inkulu. Ukuze kuqiniswe ukuphathwa kwemali yokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe yezikhungo zezimali, i-People's Bank of China inyuse isilinganiso sokugcina ngamadiphozithi okushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe ezikhungo zezimali ngamaphesenti ama-2 kusukela ngoJuni 15, okuzomisa cishe amaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-20 ekushintsheni kwemali yangaphandle futhi kusize ekuqiniseni imali yokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe emakethe yasekhaya.
Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ngokusho kokuhlangenwe nakho kweminyaka edlule, kusukela ngoJuni kuya ku-Agasti yisikhathi esiphezulu sokushintshisana kwemali yangaphandle kwamabhizinisi aseShayina aphesheya kwezilwandle, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi lo nyaka ungaba ngaphezu kwamaRandi ayizigidigidi ezingama-70, okuzoba yisici esibalulekile ekukhuthazeni ukwehla kwenani le-RMB esikhathini samuva nje.
"Nakuba ukuphathwa kwezimali zangaphandle kweShayina kuyeka ukungenelela kwayo okuvamile emakethe yezimali zangaphandle, kusazoqondisa okulindelwe emakethe ngamathuluzi athile enqubomgomo ukukhuthaza izici zokuguquguquka kwesilinganiso sokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB ngezindlela ezimbili." "" kusho uTang Jianwei.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Juni-17-2021