"Umubare w'abatumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga barinda ibyago byo kugabanuka kw'ifaranga rya yuan binyuze mu kugabanya ifaranga ryiyongereye cyane muri iyi minsi nyuma y'uko Fed isohoye ikimenyetso cy'igabanuka ry'ifaranga ku wa kane ushize." Banki ihuriweho n'abaturage yabwiye umuyobozi w'ishami ry'ubucuruzi bwa leta. Umuyoboro w'insinga ugororotse, imiyoboro ya euro na akagarurarumuri ka mpandeshatu bigomba kwitabwaho.
Mu gihe cyashize, aba batumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga bashyiraga amafaranga ku gipimo cy’ivunjisha rya RMB, ariko ubu bahisemo kugura amadovize —— hamwe n’igiciro cyo guhinduranya amafaranga kuva kuri 6.6 kugeza kuri 6.7. Niba igipimo cyo guhinduranya RMB kiri munsi ya 6.7, bashobora kugura amadorari y’Amerika kuri 6.7 no kugabanya amafaranga akoreshwa mu kuvunjisha amafaranga y’amahanga hakurikijwe ibyo.
Birumvikana ko uretse kongera ibikorwa byo gukumira ivunjisha kugira ngo harebwe ibyago byo kugabanuka kw'ivunjisha rya RMB, ibigo byinshi bitumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga na byo birushaho kongera amafaranga abitswa mu ivunjisha kugira ngo bihangane n'ibyago byo kugabanuka kw'ivunjisha rya RMB.
Isosiyete ikora mu karere ka Jiangsu na Jiangsu, umuyobozi mukuru w’imari, yishyuye amafaranga y’amahanga abiri kugira ngo igure ibikoresho fatizo, ariko muri iki cyumweru isosiyete yahagaritse by’agateganyo ibikorwa byo kuvunjisha, kuko bahangayikishijwe n’igihe kizaza. Fed izatuma igipimo cy’ivunjisha cya RMB kigabanuka kandi ikiguzi cy’ivunjisha, yahitamo kugumana ivunjisha mu gihembwe cya kane, bikagabanya igihombo gishobora guterwa n’ivunjisha.
Dukurikije uko umuyobozi w’ishami ry’ubucuruzi rya leta rishinzwe amabanki y’imigabane abivuga, ibi bigaragaza ko ibigo byinshi birushaho kugira ibitekerezo bihamye ku bucuruzi bw’ivunjisha n’ibiteganyijwe ku gipimo cy’ivunjisha, kandi uburyo imari shingiro y’amafaranga yo mu gihugu n’ayo mu mahanga nayo ikunze kuba iyumvikana, kandi ntabwo ikiri iy’izamuka rikomeye ry’agaciro k’imigabane bitewe n’igabanuka ry’ibiciro by’imigabane byakozwe na Banki Nkuru y’Igihugu n’ibindi bintu.
Ni ngombwa kumenya ko ibigo byinshi by’ishoramari mu mahanga na byo birimo kongera bucece ibikorwa byo gukumira ingaruka ku ivunjisha.
Umucuruzi w’ivunjisha yavuze ko banki yo muri Hong Kong yavuze ko abashoramari benshi bo mu mahanga bagura impapuro mvunjwafaranga za RMB mu gihe bakina ku mafaranga ahindagurika kugira ngo barinde ibyago byo kugabanuka kw’ifaranga.
"Mu by'ukuri, iki kandi ni igikorwa kitanditse cy’ishami rishinzwe kwamamaza amadovize." Yagaragaje ko ubwishingizi bw'ibyago by'ifaranga mu imari yo mu mahanga buzagabanuka iyo ifaranga rihagaze neza cyangwa rigenda rizamuka, mu gihe rizazamuka cyane.
"Iyo igipimo cy'ivunjisha cya RMB gitangiye kugabanuka cyangwa kigasubira mu nzira yacyo yo kuzamuka kw'agaciro, ibigo byinshi by'ishoramari byo mu mahanga bizagabanya ibikorwa byabyo byo kwirinda ingaruka z'ifaranga. Kuri ubu, ibigo bikomeye by'ishoramari byo mu mahanga biracyatekereza ko kugabanuka kw'ifaranga rya Fed muri uyu mwaka bishobora kutazagabanya igitutu kinini ku gipimo cy'ivunjisha cya RMB. N'ubundi kandi, iterambere rirambye ry'ubukungu bw'Ubushinwa n'amafaranga menshi y'ubwishyu bitanga inkunga ikomeye ku ihindagurika ry'ivunjisha rya RMB mu gipimo cy'ivunjisha gikurikije uburinganire." Intumwa nkuru y'ikigo kinini cy'i Burayi gishinzwe gucunga umutungo yemeye.
Kugeza saa mbiri z'ijoro ku ya 24 Kanama, igipimo cy'ivunjisha rya RMB ku isoko ry'imbere mu gihugu (CNY) cyahagaze kuri 6.4773, maze gisubizwa neza ikimenyetso cya 6.5 integer, bigaragaza "ubudahangarwa" bw'igipimo cy'ivunjisha rya RMB.
Ibikorwa bishya byo kurinda ivunjisha ry'ibiciro ku bigo bitumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga
"Nyuma yuko Yuan igabanutse munsi ya 6.5 ugereranyije n'idolari kuwa gatanu, ishyaka ryabo ryo kwirinda amadovize ryariyongereye cyane." Iyi banki y'imigabane yavuzwe haruguru yabwiye umuyobozi w'ishami ry'ubucuruzi bwa leta.
Abatumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga benshi bari bateganyije gutegereza kugeza mu mpera za Kanama kugira ngo bemeze gahunda yo kuzigama amafaranga y'amahanga mu gihembwe cya kane, ariko kubera ko ikimenyetso cya Fed cyo kugabanya ibiciro cyarushijeho kwiyongera cyane byatumye idolari rizamuka vuba mu mwaka, ntibashobora "kwicara bahagaze".
Bivugwa ko nubwo abatumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga benshi bashyiraho igiciro cyo gukoresha mu gukwirakwiza amadovize kiri hagati ya 6.6 na 6.7, aho bashyira ubwishingizi bw'amadovize hahura neza n'ibyo ubucuruzi busaba, bitandukanye n'aho mbere hasaga ubwishingizi bw'amadovize bwa RMB burenga cyane ibyo ubucuruzi busaba.
"Inyuma y'ibi, ibigo byinshi bitumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga byigiye ku gihombo cyabayeho mbere mu bijyanye no kuziba amadovize, —— byatekerejwe ko bireba uko igipimo cy'ivunjisha cyagendaga kizamuka kandi bikanagura cyane uburyo bwo kuziba amadovize ashingiye ku bicuruzwa by'amayeri." Banki y'imigabane yabwiye umuyobozi w'ishami ry'ubucuruzi bwa leta.
Yasanze nubwo ingaruka zo kugabanyirizwa amafaranga zigenzurwa neza, ariko ibigo byinshi bitumiza ibicuruzwa bikibanda ku isuzuma ry’inyungu z’ivunjisha, nta gufunga amadovize no kugabanya ikiguzi nyacyo cy’imikorere y’ibigo (harimo no kugabanya ikiguzi cyo kugura ibikoresho fatizo bitumizwa mu mahanga, nibindi), bigatuma ingamba zo gufunga amadovize zigifite icyerekezo cyo kugabanuka cyane kw’igipimo cy’ivunjisha.
Kuri ubu, banki ye y’imigabane irimo kongera itumanaho n’ibi bigo bitumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga, ibasaba gushyiraho uburyo bwo guhindura imiterere y’ivunjisha ry’ibyago by’ivunjisha —— igihe cyose ibiciro by’ivunjisha rya RMB mu gihe kizaza mu ivunjisha ry’ibyago by’i ...
Birumvikana ko abatumiza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga benshi barimo kongera amafaranga y'amahanga abitswa, kugira ngo bahangane n'ingaruka ziterwa n'uko Fed yagabanyije igabanuka ry'igipimo cy'ivunjisha rya RMB muri uyu mwaka.
"Impamvu ni uko amasosiyete menshi yaryohewe n'inyungu zayo." Umucuruzi w'amasoko y'imari muri banki nini ya leta yavuze. Mu gice cya mbere cy'uyu mwaka, amafaranga abitswe mu mashanyarazi y'imbere mu gihugu n'andi masosiyete y'isoko yiyongereye cyane ku madolari y'Amerika miliyari 65.8 ugereranije n'impera za 2020, bituma amasosiyete menshi yo mu mahanga yirinda kugabanuka kw'ivunjisha rya RMB mu gice cya mbere cy'uyu mwaka, kandi bigabanya igihombo cyo kugura amadovize.
Ibigo by'ishoramari byo mu mahanga byongeye gukora ibikorwa byo gukumira ingaruka ku ivunjisha
Mu gihe habayeho igabanuka ry’ibyago byatewe n’igabanuka ry’ibiciro bya Fed muri uyu mwaka, ibigo byinshi by’ishoramari byo mu mahanga byongeye gukomeza ibikorwa byo gukumira ingaruka z’ivunjisha.
"Mu gihe cy'ihindagurika ry'ivunjisha rihamye cyangwa uburyo bwo kuzamuka muri RMB, nta bikorwa byo kwirinda ingaruka z'ivunjisha twakoze mu kongera izindi mpapuro ...
Impamvu y’ikigega cy’ubukungu ni uko Yuan ishobora kumira inyungu z’igihugu mu gihe yaba yagabanutse cyane na Fed.
Amakuru agaragaza ko kugeza saa mbiri z'ijoro kuwa kabiri, itandukaniro riri hagati y'umusaruro w'imyaka 10 w'Ubushinwa n'umusaruro w'imari ya Amerika) ryageze ku manota 162, ariko ibigo byinshi by'ishoramari byo mu mahanga bifite impungenge ko niba Fed igabanyije igipimo cy'ivunjisha cya RMB kikagera hagati ya 6.55 na 6.6, uyu musaruro "uzamirwa" no kugabanuka kw'agaciro k'igipimo cy'ivunjisha.
Abacuruzi b'ivunjisha rya banki ya Hong Kong bagaragaje ko kuva kuwa gatanu, ibigo byinshi by'ishoramari byo mu mahanga mu mpapuro mpapuro z'agaciro za RMB icyarimwe byafashe ingamba zo gukumira ingaruka z'ivunjisha —— ugereranije n'ibigo by'imbere mu gihugu bikunda gukoresha uburyo bwo gufunga, ibigo by'ishoramari byo mu mahanga bikunda gushyira amafaranga ku isoko ry'ivunjisha rya RMB rihindagurika.
Inyuma y'ibi hari imyumvire ikwirakwira mu bigo by'ishoramari byo mu mahanga ko ingengo y'imari ya Fed mu mwaka ishobora guhindura igipimo cy'ivunjisha rya RMB mu gihe gito, ariko ishobora kutagira ingaruka zikomeye ku igenagaciro ry'ivunjisha ringana.
"RMB ni yo ifaranga rya kabiri ryiza ku isoko ry’imari rikiri kuzamuka muri uyu mwaka, bitewe n’iterambere rikomeje kwiyongera mu by’ubukungu bw’Ubushinwa." Umusesenguzi w’ingamba za Morgan Stanley, Matthew Hornbach, yasohoye raporo iheruka. Byongeye kandi, inyungu iri hejuru mu kwishyura mu Bushinwa inashyira Yuan mu gitutu cyo kugabanuka cyane kurusha ibindi bihugu biri ku isoko ry’imari rikiri kuzamuka.
Matthew Hornbach yizera ko kugabanuka kw'ibiciro bya Fed byatumye ifaranga rya Yuan rigabanuka cyane muri uyu mwaka.
"Mu by'ukuri, kongera ubwishingizi bw'ibyago bya RMB ni nk'ingamba zo gukumira. Iyo igipimo cy'ivunjisha cya RMB kimaze kongera kugaruka cyangwa kigatera kwiyongera, tuzagabanya vuba ibikorwa byo kwirinda ibyago byo kugabanuka kw'ibyago byo kugabanuka kw'ibyago." Umuyobozi mukuru wa Wall Street ushinzwe ubukungu bw'ibanze yavuze ko. N'ubundi kandi, ibikorwa byo kwirinda ibyago byo kugabanuka kw'ibyago byo kugabanuka kw'ibyago byatwaye inyungu nyayo y'impapuro mpapuro z'agaciro za RMB z'inyongera amanota 40-50.0, bigatuma imikorere yabo idakomeye kurusha izindi nkunga kandi ntibigire ingaruka nziza ku micungire y'umutungo wabo w'ejo hazaza no kwagura urwego rw'imicungire y'umutungo.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Kanama-27-2021