Ngomhla wesi-7 kweyeSilimela, iFreightwaves yapapasha inqaku elisayiniweyo nguHenry Byers, elihlalutya izizathu ezininzi zokwehla kwemfuno yokungenisa impahla e-US, nto leyo efanele ukujongwa ziinkampani zokungenisa impahla neyokuthumela impahla kwamanye amazwe. Izinto ezibonisa iReflex, Iziqhagamsheli zeTerminal Block
kwaye Isixhumi se-din esineephini ezi-4 kufuneka kuqatshelwe.
Idatha yamva nje yokubhukisha iikhonteyina zokuthumela izithuthi ibonisa ukuba nangona amanqanaba omeleleyo ka-2022 kwiinyanga ezintlanu zokuqala zika-2022. Njengoko umthamo kulo lonke iPasifiki usazinzile, iFreightos (Inqaku lomhleli: Ukubhukisha imithwalo yehlabathi kunye namaqonga okuhlawula izithuthi) ibonise amaxabiso eekhonteyina ezithengiswayo, ukusuka eTshayina ukuya kunxweme olusentshona, ehle ngama-38 ekhulwini inyanga nenyanga ukuya kwi-$9,630.
Nangona ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kuya konwabela inzuzo eyandayo yokuthunyelwa kwempahla, iinkampani zaseMelika zelori kunye nababoneleli bezithuthi eziphakathi basenokuqala ukubona ukwehla kokuthunyelwa kwempahla.
Iindlela zokuthenga zabathengi zibuyela esiqhelweni ngokukhawuleza ukuya kumanqanaba angaphambi kobhubhane, ngelixa abathengisi baseMelika behlushwa yimpahla eninzi kakhulu. Izabelo ezijoliswe kuzo zehle ngoLwesibini kusasa emva kokuba abaphathi beenkampani bethe baza kunika izaphulelo, barhoxise ii-odolo zokuthenga kwaye benze ngokukhawuleza ukuphelisa impahla engaphezulu.
Oku kukwakhokelele ekwehleni ngama-36 ekhulwini kwempahla engeniswa kwiikhonteyina e-US evela kwamanye amazwe, nokuba ngunyaka nonyaka, okanye ukubuyela kwinqanaba lasehlotyeni lamanqanaba ka-2020. Ngoko ke yintoni ebangele ukwehla ngequbuliso kwempahla engeniswa kwiikhonteyina? Ezi zinto zilandelayo zidibene ukuchaza ukwehla ngequbuliso kwamanani.
inqwaba yempahla
Eyona nto ibangela ukuba kubekho ukusilela kwezabelo zaseMelika. Oku kungenxa yokuba iinkampani zizama ukuzalisa uninzi lwempahla ephelileyo ngo-2021, ngelixa zifuna ukugcina impahla eyaneleyo yokujongana nokuphazamiseka okunokwenzeka kothutho. Ezi nkxalabo ziye zanda ngenxa yemijikelo elandelelanayo yokuvalwa kwezindlu, kodwa iingozi zezopolitiko zibonakala zisanda emva kwengxabano kwiintsuku ezingaphezu kwe-100 ezidlulileyo; iinkampani zigqibe kwelokuba, nokuba zingcono okanye zimbi kunokujongana nomngcipheko wokunyuka ngequbuliso kwemfuno yabathengi kunye neempahla kwamanye amazwe.
Ngoko ke ukuba umkhwa wabathengi ngoku utshintsha ukusuka kwiimpahla ukuya kwiinkonzo, ezi nkampani zemveliso yeempahla zingabanjwa ekuqokeleleni izinto ezininzi okanye kwiimpahla ezingalunganga ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuthengiswa. Ukuqokelelwa kwezinto ezikhoyo kuya kukhokelela ekunciphiseni ii-odolo ezintsha zokungenisa impahla, ngaloo ndlela kongeze ukuphazamiseka esikubonayo kwimfuno yokungeniswa kweekhonteyina zase-US. NgoLwesibini nje, iTarget ibhengeze inkqubo "yokulwa" yokunciphisa izinto ezikhoyo egxile ekurhoxiseni ii-odolo kunye nokunyuswa kwamaxabiso.
Ngaphezulu, kubonisa ukunyuka kwenani lempahla ezithunyelwa ngaphandle, kwaye ngezantsi, kubonisa ukwehla kwenani lempahla ezithunyelwa ngaphandle, abathengisi nabo banciphisa isantya senethiwekhi zabo emva kokuba ukunyuka kokugqibela kwempahla kufikelele kunxweme lwaseMelika.
Abathengi bayacinezelwa
Njengoko ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuqhubeka kwaye amaxabiso ebiza kakhulu, abathengi babonakala besiya besiba mandundu. Kule veki nje, i-AAA (inqaku lomhleli: i-American Automobile Association, i-AAA) ibike intengo ephezulu ye-$4.51 ngegaloni.
Ezinye iingcali zezoqoqosho ziqikelela ukuba singafumana "incopho yokunyuka kwamaxabiso" njengoko iFed iqala ukunyusa amazinga enzala kwaye inciphise ibhalansi yayo. Nangona kunjalo, nokuba uxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso luqala ukuncipha, abathengi basenokuchaphazeleka kakhulu ngamazinga enzala aphezulu ngenxa yokusebenzisa ityala, okunokwenza kube nzima ngakumbi imfuno kunye nenkcitho ecwangcisiweyo.
Ukusetyenziswa kwamakhadi etyala kuye kwanda njengoko izinga lokonga lomntu ngamnye liqhubeka lihla kwaye lisiya kwinqanaba lenzala ephantsi (ukufundwa kokugqibela yi-4.4) ukusukela kwingxaki enkulu yezemali (4.5 ngo-Agasti 2009). Nazi iindlela ezimbini zokutolika amazinga okonga aphantsi kakhulu: nokuba abathengi baqinisekile kakhulu kwaye bazimisele ukuchitha imali, okanye bachitha yonke idola abanayo ukuze bahlangabezane nokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu.—— Kunzima ukuyicinga indlela iindleko zabathengi ezikhula ngayo ngoku.
Ngelishwa, ukunyuka kwamandla nokutya akuyazi okanye akukhathali ukuba iingxowa zabathengi baseMelika zinjani —— indlela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwezi mveliso okubangelwa ngayo kukuwohloka kobonelelo, kungekhona kukukhuthazwa kwemfuno. Elinye inqaku ekufuneka likhunjulwe kukuba izinga lokukhula kwamaxabiso abavelisi lihlala lidlula amaxabiso abathengi, ngoko ke abanye abavelisi basenokuba bachaphazeleka kukunyuka kwamaxabiso, kodwa abakadluliseli oku kubathengi.
Ngoko ke nangona i-trial ejikelezayo iyonke isandul’ ukufikelela kumanqanaba angaphambi kobhubhane, iyanda, kwaye ukuba amaxabiso ayaqhubeka nokunyuka, kusengqiqweni ukulindela ukuba i-trial ejikelezayo eseleyo nayo inyuke.
Xa ujonga kuqala, itheyibhile yokuthengisa (itshathi engasezantsi) ingagqiba kwelokuba intengiso yokuthengisa iyanda, kodwa khumbula ukuba oku kulinganiswa ngeedola eziqhelekileyo, akulungiselelwanga ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, kwaye kubonisa amaxabiso aphezulu okuthengisa iimpahla--hayi amandla oqoqosho okanye ukuqina kwabathengi. Iinkampani zemveliso yempahla azizodwa, kwaye iinkampani zeenkonzo kunye nezobuchwepheshe nazo ziya kujongana noxinzelelo kwiinyanga ezizayo, kwaye ukuthengisa amasheya kunokukhokelela ekugxothweni.
Sibona imiqondiso emininzi ngakumbi yokuba imfuno yabathengi base-US iyonakala kwaye inani leekhonteyina ezingeniswayo liza kwehla liye kufikelela kumanqanaba akufutshane nowama-2019, ngoko ke imigca yorhwebo phakathi kwe-Sino-US egxile uninzi lomthamo worhwebo ifanelekile ukuphononongwa.
Xa sijonga ubuninzi bezithuthi ezivela eTshayina ukuya eMelika, sinokubona izithuthi zisihla ukusuka "kwincopho yexesha eliphambili" ngoSeptemba 2021 ukuya ngoLwesibini (ngoku ziphantsi ngama-51% ukusuka kwincopho). Nangona ngokwembali (ngaphambi kwemfazwe yorhwebo / uqhambuko), ekupheleni kukaMatshi ukuya ekuqaleni kukaMeyi umthamo wendlela yorhwebo ubuthathaka kakhulu, kodwa kufuneka siqaphele ukuba urhulumente waseTshayina eShanghai nakwezinye iindawo ezibalulekileyo zokuvelisa (ingakumbi ezijikeleze iBeijing kunye nezibuko eliphambili eTianjin) zokuthintela ubhubhane kunye nokulawula kunye namanyathelo okuvimba nawo aqinise ukwehla komthamo wezithuthi.
Nangona kukho ukuvalwa, ukwehla kwezithuthi kwindlela ephambili yorhwebo kubonakala kungenakuphepheka ngo-2022, njengoko umthamo omkhulu phakathi kweTshayina neTshayina ukwizinga elingakaze libonwe kwaye lingazinzi ngo-2021. Ngoku, njengoko iTshayina ivula kwakhona, abanye abajongi beli shishini bacele "ukwanda kweekhonteyina," kodwa kubonakala ngathi ukuphazamiseka kwemfuno kuyichaphazele kakhulu indlela yorhwebo.
Akukaze kwenzeke ngaphambili, "ukwanda kwesikhongozeli"
Uninzi "lokwanda kweekhonteyina" obekulindelekile ukusuka eShanghai (okwakucingelwa ukuba kusemva ngexesha lokuvalwa kwempahla) kubonakala ngathi kuphumile kwizibuko laseNingbo. Ngenxa yemiqathango yangaphakathi (oko kukuthi, ukuvalwa kweendlela), ukufikelela kwizibuko bekuvaliwe kakhulu, kwaye abathumeli bakhawuleza bahlela kwakhona uthutho ngezibuko elikhulu elikufutshane nezibuko. Ukwehla kokubhukisha okutsha (kunye nomthamo wempahla) ukusukela oko kwavalwa eShanghai ngasekupheleni kukaMatshi kuye kwancitshiswa kukwanda kokuthunyelwa kwempahla okuphambukisiweyo ukusuka eNingbo. Ngenxa yokuba abathumeli bekhawuleza ukukhupha iimpahla, oku kukwazisa amaxesha okuhanjiswa kweencwadi kwinqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu.
Nangona iShanghai ivuliwe kwakhona, inani lilonke leekhonteyina ezivela eTshayina ukuya eMelika liyaqhubeka nokuncipha, kwaye ukuthomalalisa amanyathelo amatsha okulawula i-coronavirus kuphela akunakwenzeka ukuba kungayiguquli. Ngokuphathelele idatha yamva nje, ukuba oku "kukunyuka kwezikhonteyina" ukusuka kwizibuko zaseShanghai ukuya e-US xa kwavulwa kwakhona ngoLwesithathu ophelileyo, oku akunamsebenzi xa kuthelekiswa noko sikubonileyo ukusuka eShanghai ukuya e-US kwiinyanga ezili-18-22 ezidlulileyo. Olu "kunyuka" lunokutshintsha ngokulula kwidatha yethu yokubhukisha kwiiveki ezizayo, kwaye ukuba imfuno iyancitshiswa, ngokuqinisekileyo kuya kubonakala kuyo, kodwa ukusukela ngoLwesibini ophelileyo, ayikasetyenziswa nangayiphi na indlela ecacileyo.
Ukwehla okuqhubekayo komthamo wezithuthi ezivela eTshayina ukuya eMelika kukwazise uxinzelelo olukhulu ezantsi kumazinga okuthutha impahla ukusuka kwinqanaba lemfuno. Njengoko umthamo wawuhlala uzinzile kwiiveki zokuqala emva kokuvalelwa (emva komhla wama-28 kuMatshi), izithuthi zehla kumaxabiso aphantsi eTshayina / unxweme lwaseMpuma Asia-Mpuma-Ntshona kwiFreightos Baltic freight index (41% ngenyanga ye-FEU ukuya kwi-$9,630 nge-FEU, kunye ne-36% ukuya kwi-$11,907 nge-FEU). Kwabathuthi abanengxaki yamazinga okuthutha impahla abalaseleyo ngo-2021, kufuneka sikhumbule nokuba la maxabiso aphantsi ayanda minyaka le (73% kuNxweme oluseNtshona kunye ne-59% kuNxweme oluseMpuma).
Ukuba ukubhukisha kuyaqhubeka nokuba buthathaka ngoJuni, silindele ukuba amaxabiso angakumbi kwindlela yokurhweba ehle, kodwa iinkampani zokuthumela imithwalo zinokusebenza nzima kunangaphambili ukuzama ukukhusela ingeniso yazo erekhodiweyo. Sele zinciphise umthamo kwiindlela ezinkulu zorhwebo ngokurhoxisa iindlela nokunciphisa iinqanawa, kodwa ukuba ukwehla kokubhukisha kuyanda kwiiveki ezizayo, sinokubona ukuba umanyano lolwandle luya kuvavanywa ngamandla nolawulo olungazange lubonwe ngaphambili.
Ukuba amaxabiso okuthutha impahla aqala ukwehla ngokukhawuleza, kusengqiqweni ukurhanela ukuba iinkampani zokuthutha impahla ezingakabophi uninzi lwamashishini azo kwiikhontrakthi zexesha elide ziya kunciphisa kakhulu amaxabiso azo ukuze zikwazi ukukhuphisana kwimarike yendawo.
Okubangel’ umdla kukuba, iingxoxo zokugqibela zabasebenzi basezibukweni kwiPort of Long Beach eLos Angeles ngo-2014-2015 zibangele ukuphazamiseka kwekhonkco lokubonelela (okwandise uluhlu lwezinto zase-US), nto leyo ebangele imeko efanayo. Oku kusenokungavakali kuyinyani emva konyaka womthamo werekhodi, kodwa ubuthathaka obukhulu bamanani eendawo ezithile bunokukhokelela ekuhlengahlengisweni kunye/okanye ekuhlengahlengisweni kwakhona kwemanyano yangoku yolwandle.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Juni-23-2022