Ngomhlaka-7 Juni, iFreightwaves yashicilela isihloko esisayinwe nguHenry Byers, esihlaziya izizathu eziningi zokwehla kwesidingo sokungenisa impahla e-US, okufanele ukwahlulelwe yizinkampani zokungenisa impahla nezokuthekelisa impahla. Ama-Reflex Reflectors, Izixhumi Zebhulokhi Yesiphetho
futhi Isixhumi se-din esinezikhonkwane ezi-4 kufanele kuqashelwe.
Idatha yakamuva yokubhukha amakhonteyina okuthumela ikhombisa ukuthi naphezu kwamazinga aqinile ka-2022 ezinyangeni ezinhlanu zokuqala zika-2022. Njengoba umthamo kulo lonke iPacific usazinzile, iFreightos (Inothi lomhleli: Amapulatifomu okubhukha imithwalo yomhlaba wonke kanye nokukhokha) ibonise amanani amakhonteyina aqondile, kusukela eShayina kuya ogwini olusentshonalanga, ehle ngamaphesenti angu-38 inyanga nenyanga yaba ngu-$9,630.
Nakuba ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kuzojabulela inzuzo ekhulayo yokuthunyelwa kwempahla, izinkampani zamaloli zaseMelika kanye nabahlinzeki bezimoto ezihamba ngezimoto bangase baqale ukubona ukwehla kokuthunyelwa kwempahla.
Amaphethini okuthenga kwabathengi asheshe ajwayeleke abe amazinga angaphambi kobhubhane, kuyilapho abathengisi base-US behlushwa yimpahla eningi kakhulu. Amasheya aqondiwe ehle ngoLwesibili ekuseni ngemuva kokuba abaphathi benkampani bethi bazonikeza izaphulelo, bakhansele ama-oda okuthenga futhi bathathe isinyathelo ngokushesha ukuze basuse impahla eningi kakhulu.
Lokhu kuholele nasekuweni ngamaphesenti angu-36 kokungeniswa kwezitsha zase-US ezivela kwamanye amazwe, kungaba unyaka nonyaka, noma emuva ezingeni lasehlobo lamazinga ka-2020. Ngakho-ke yini eyabangela ukwehla okungazelelwe kokungeniswa kwezitsha? Lezi zici ezilandelayo zihlangene ukuchaza ukwehla okungazelelwe kwezinombolo.
isitoko esiningi ngokweqile
Imbangela eseduze kakhulu ukusilela kwamasheya ase-US. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi izinkampani zizama ukugcwalisa iningi lempahla eyaphela ngo-2021, kuyilapho zifuna ukugcina impahla eyanele ukuze zibhekane nokuphazamiseka okungenzeka kwempahla. Lokhu kukhathazeka kuye kwanda ngenxa yezikhathi ezilandelanayo zokuvalwa kwezwe, kodwa izingozi zezwe zibonakala zikhula kuphela ngemva kwengxabano ezinsukwini ezingaphezu kwe-100 ezedlule; izinkampani zinqume ukuthi, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi zingcono noma zimbi kangakanani, zibhekane nengozi yokwanda okungazelelwe kwesidingo sabathengi kanye nezimpahla kwamanye amazwe.
Ngakho-ke uma umkhuba wabathengi manje usushintsha kusuka ezimpahleni kuya ezinsizeni, lezi zinkampani zokukhiqiza izimpahla zingase zibhajwe ekuqongeleleni izinto eziningi kakhulu noma ezimpahleni ezingalungile ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuthengiswa. Ukuqongelela kwezinto ezikhona kuzoholela ekunciphiseni ama-oda amasha okungenisa, ngaleyo ndlela kwenezele ekuphazamisekeni esikubonayo esidingweni sokungeniswa kwezitsha zase-US. NgoLwesibili nje, iTarget imemezele uhlelo "lokulwa" lokunciphisa izinto ezikhona olugxile ekukhanseleni ama-oda kanye nokukhushulwa kwamanani.
Ngenhla, okubonisa inani lempahla elikhuphukayo, kanti ngezansi, okubonisa inani lokungeniswa kwempahla eliwayo, abathengisi nabo banciphisa isivinini samanethiwekhi abo ngemuva kokwanda kokugcina kwempahla ogwini lwase-US.
Abathengi bayacindezelwa
Njengoba ukukhuphuka kwamanani kuqhubeka futhi amanani ebiza kakhulu, abathengi babonakala beba mandundu. Kuleli sonto nje, i-AAA (inothi lomhleli: i-American Automobile Association, i-AAA) ibike ukuthi intengo yayo iphezulu kakhulu ngo-$4.51 ngegaloni.
Abanye osomnotho bacabanga ukuthi singase sibe "nezinga eliphezulu lokwehla kwamandla emali" njengoba i-Fed iqala ukuphakamisa amazinga enzalo futhi inciphise ibhalansi yayo. Kodwa-ke, noma ngabe izingcindezi zokwehla kwamandla emali ziqala ukwehla, abathengi bangase bathintwe kakhulu amazinga enzalo aphezulu ngenxa yokusebenzisa isikweletu, okungase kube kubi kakhulu isidingo kanye nokusetshenziswa kwemali ngokuzikhethela.
Ukusetshenziswa kwamakhadi esikweletu kuye kwanda njengoba izinga lokonga lomuntu siqu liqhubeka nokwehla futhi liqhubekela ezingeni lenzalo eliphansi kakhulu (ukufundwa kokugcina kungu-4.4) kusukela enkingeni enkulu yezezimali (4.5 ngo-Agasti 2009). Nazi izindlela ezimbili zokuhumusha amazinga okonga aphansi kakhulu: kungaba abathengi abazethembayo kakhulu futhi abazimisele ukusebenzisa imali, noma basebenzisa yonke idola abanayo ukuze baphile ngokukhuphuka kwamanani aphezulu.—— Kunzima ukucabanga ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwabathengi kukhula kulesi sigaba.
Ngeshwa, ukukhuphuka kwamandla kagesi nokudla akunandaba noma akunandaba nokuthi izimali zabathengi baseMelika zinjani — ukuthi ukukhuphuka kwamandla kulezi zimboni kubangelwa kanjani ukushaqeka kokuhlinzekwa, hhayi ukukhuthazwa kwesidingo. Elinye iphuzu okufanele likhunjulwe ukuthi izinga lokukhula kwamanani abakhiqizi lihlale lidlula amanani abathengi, ngakho abanye abakhiqizi bangase bathinteke yizindleko ezikhuphukayo, kodwa abakakudluliseli lokhu kubathengi.
Ngakho-ke yize isikweletu esiphelele esiqhubekayo sisanda kufinyelela amazinga angaphambi kobhubhane, siyashesha, futhi uma amanani eqhubeka nokukhuphuka, kunengqondo ukulindela isikweletu esiqhubekayo esisele sikhuphuke, naso.
Uma ubheka kuqala, ithebula lokuthengisa (ishadi elingezansi) lingaphetha ngokuthi ukuthengiswa kwezitolo kuyakhula, kodwa khumbula ukuthi lokhu kulinganiswa ngamadola amancane, akulungiselelwanga ukwehla kwamandla emali, futhi kumele amanani aphezulu okuthengisa izimpahla - hhayi amandla ezomnotho noma ukuqina kwabathengi. Izinkampani zokukhiqiza izimpahla azizodwa, futhi izinkampani zezinsizakalo nezobuchwepheshe nazo zizobhekana nengcindezi ezinyangeni ezizayo, futhi ukuthengisa amasheya kungaholela ekuxoshweni.
Sibona izimpawu ezengeziwe zokuthi isidingo sabathengi base-US siyawohloka futhi inani lama-container angeniswayo lizokwehla liye emazingeni aseduze no-2019, ngakho-ke imigqa yokuhweba ye-Sino-US egxile kakhulu kumthamo wokuhweba ifanele ukufundwa.
Uma sibheka inani eliphelele lazo zonke izikhumulo ezivela eShayina ziya e-US, singabona ithrafikhi yehla kusukela "esicongweni sesizini esiphezulu" ngoSepthemba 2021 kuya ngoLwesibili (manje sehle ngo-51% kusukela esicongweni). Nakuba ngokomlando (ngaphambi kwempi yezohwebo / ukuqubuka), ekupheleni kukaMashi kuya ekuqaleni kukaMeyi umthamo womzila wokuhweba ubuthakathaka kakhulu, kodwa kufanele futhi uqaphele ukuthi uhulumeni waseShayina eShanghai nakwezinye izindawo ezibalulekile zokukhiqiza (ikakhulukazi ezungeze iBeijing kanye eduze kwechweba elikhulu eTianjin) zokuvimbela ubhubhane kanye nezinyathelo zokuvimbela nazo zandisa ukwehla kwenani lethrafikhi.
Naphezu kokuvinjelwa, ukwehla kwethrafikhi emzileni omkhulu wokuhweba kubonakala kungenakugwenywa ngo-2022, njengoba inani elikhulu phakathi kweShayina neShayina lisezingeni elingakaze libonwe futhi elingazinzile ngo-2021. Manje, njengoba iShayina ivula kabusha, abanye ababukeli bemboni bacele "ukwanda kwama-container," kodwa kubonakala sengathi ukuphazamiseka kwesidingo kuthinte kakhulu umzila wokuhweba.
Akukaze kwenzeke ngaphambili, "ukwanda kwesitsha"
Iningi "lokwanda kwezitsha" okwakulindelwe kusuka eShanghai (okubhekwa njengokusalela emuva ngesikhathi sokuvinjelwa) kubonakala sengathi kuphumile echwebeni laseNingbo. Ngenxa yemikhawulo yangaphakathi nezwe (okungukuthi, ukuvalwa kwemigwaqo), ukufinyelela echwebeni kwakuvinjiwe kakhulu, futhi abathumeli bahlela kabusha ngokushesha ezokuthutha ngechweba elikhulu eliseduze nechweba. Ukwehla kokubhukha okusha (kanye nomthamo wezimpahla) kusukela ekuvinjweni kweShanghai ngasekupheleni kukaMashi kuye kwancishiswa ukwanda kokuthuthwa okuphambukisiwe kusuka eNingbo. Ngenxa yokuthi abathumeli baphuthuma ukukhipha izimpahla, lokhu kuletha nezikhathi zokulethwa kokubhukha ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu elirekhodiwe.
Naphezu kokuvulwa kabusha kweShanghai, inani eliphelele lama-container avela eShayina aya e-United States liyaqhubeka nokwehla, futhi ukululaza izindlela ezintsha zokulawula i-coronavirus kuphela akunakwenzeka ukuthi kukuhlehlise. Ngokuphathelene nedatha yakamuva, uma lokhu "kuwukwanda kwama-container" kusuka emachwebeni aseShanghai kuya e-US lapho kuvulwa kabusha ngoLwesithathu olwedlule, lokhu cishe akubalulekile uma kuqhathaniswa nalokho esikubonile kusuka eShanghai kuya e-US ezinyangeni eziyi-18-22 ezedlule. Lokhu "kwanda " kungashintsha kalula kudatha yethu yokubhuka emavikini azayo, futhi uma isidingo sincishisiwe, ngokungangabazeki kuzobonakala kukho, kodwa kusukela ngoLwesibili olwedlule, akukaqaliswa nganoma iyiphi indlela ecacile.
Ukwehla okuqhubekayo kwenani lethrafikhi kusuka eShayina kuya e-United States nakho kulethe ingcindezi enkulu yokwehla kwamanani okuthutha impahla endaweni ethile kusukela ezingeni lesidingo. Njengoba umthamo uhlala uzinzile emasontweni okuqala ngemva kokuvinjelwa (ngemuva kukaMashi 28), ithrafikhi yehle emananini aphansi ogwini lwaseShayina / East Asia-East-West lwe-Freightos Baltic freight index (41% ngenyanga ye-FEU ngenyanga yaya ku-$9,630 nge-FEU, kanye no-36% yaya ku-$11,907 nge-FEU). Kwabathumeli abanenkinga yamanani okuthutha impahla aqopha umlando ngo-2021, kufanele sikhumbule nokuthi la manani aphansi ayanda minyaka yonke (73% oGwini oluseNtshonalanga kanye no-59% oGwini oluseMpumalanga).
Uma ukubhukha kuqhubeka nokuba buthaka ngoJuni, silindele ukuthi amazinga engeziwe omgwaqo wokuhweba ehle, kodwa izinkampani zokuthumela izimpahla zingase zisebenze kanzima kunanini ngaphambili ukuzama ukuvikela imali yazo engenayo eqophelweni eliphezulu. Sezivele zinciphise umthamo wemizila emikhulu yokuhweba ngokukhansela imizila nokunciphisa imikhumbi, kodwa uma ukwehla kokubhukha kushesha emasontweni azayo, singase sibone ukuthi ubumbano lwasolwandle luzovivinywa ngamandla nokulawula okungakaze kubonwe ngaphambili.
Uma amazinga okuthutha impahla eqala ukwehla ngokushesha, kunengqondo ukusola ukuthi izinkampani zokuthutha impahla ezingakaxhumanisi iningi lebhizinisi lazo nezinkontileka zesikhathi eside zizonciphisa kakhulu amanani azo ukuze zincintisane emakethe yezimpahla ezithengiswayo.
Ngokuthakazelisayo, izingxoxo zokugcina zabasebenzi basechwebeni ePort of Long Beach eLos Angeles ngo-2014-2015 zabangela ukuphazamiseka kochungechunge lokunikezwa kwempahla (okwandise izinqolobane zase-US), okwabangela isimo esifanayo. Lokhu kungase kungezwakali kungokoqobo ngemva konyaka womthamo orekhodiwe, kodwa ubuthakathaka obukhulu bamanani ezindawo cishe buzoholela ekushintsheni kabusha kanye/noma ekuhleleni kabusha umbimbi lwamanje lwezolwandle.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Juni-23-2022